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Purdue Basketball: Maryland Preview

The Boilermakers start the new year in College Park against Jahmir Young and the Terps.

NCAA Basketball: Big Ten Conference Tournament Quarterfinals - Indiana vs Maryland David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

University of Maryland (9-4 Big 10 1-1) - Ken Pom #74

Basic Information

Location: College Park, Maryland

Type of School: Public Land Grant Research University

Mascot: Testudo (The Turtle)

Head Coach - Kevin Willard

Seasons at Maryland: 2

Maryland Record: 31-17

Other Head Coaching Jobs: Iona (‘07-’10), Seaton Hall (‘10-’22)

Overall Record: 301-227

Regular Season Conference Championships: 1 (Seaton Hall)

Conference Tournament Championships: 1 (Seaton Hall)

NCAA Appearances: 6 (2-6)

Final 4 Appearances: 0

Kenpom Style of Play

() = National Ranking per Kenpom

Offense

Adj. Efficiency: 105.9 (134)

Avg. Poss. Length: 17.6 (213)

Defense

Adj. Efficiency: 94.9 (25)

Avg. Poss. Length: 17.9

Tempo

Adj. Tempo: 67.5 (271)

Kenpom 4 Factors

() = National Ranking per Kenpom

Offense

Effective FG%: 47.1 (271)

Turnover %: 17.2 (153)

Off. Reb. %: 35.4 (38)

FTA/FGA: 48.4 (5)

Defense

Effective FG%: 44.6 (23)

Turnover %: 21.3 (33)

Off. Reb. %: 31.8 (249)

FTA/FGA: 32.7 (183)

Personnel

Maryland Starters

Position Number Player Class Height Weight Previous Team Minutes Points Rebounds Assists Steal Block
Position Number Player Class Height Weight Previous Team Minutes Points Rebounds Assists Steal Block
Point Guard 1 Jahmir Young Sr. 6'1" 185 Charlotte 33.6 19.3 4.3 4.1 1.5 0.5
Shooting Guard 5 DeShawn Harris-Smith Fr. 6'5" 215 N/A 29.2 8.1 4.8 2.8 1.5 0.2
Small Forward 22 Jordan Geronimo Jr. 6'6" 225 Indiana 23.3 6.8 3.7 0.7 0.9 1.1
Power Forward 24 Donta Scott Sr. 6'8" 230 N/A 26.8 9.9 4.9 0.8 0.5 0.4
Center 10 Julian Reese Jr. 6'9" 230 N/A 29.8 14.3 9.7 0.8 1 2.2

Maryland Bench

Position Number Player Class Height Weight Previous Team Minutes Points Rebounds Assists Steal Block
Position Number Player Class Height Weight Previous Team Minutes Points Rebounds Assists Steal Block
Combo Guard 2 Jahari Long Sr. 6'5" 200 Seton Hall 19.3 5.6 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.1
Wing 12 Jamie Kaiser Fr. 6'6" 205 N/A 18 4.1 2.1 0.2 1.1 0
Forward/Center 14 Mady Traore So. 6'11" 195 New Mexico State 7.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 0 0.2

Playing Style

Offense

This is the Jahmir Young, Julian Reese, and Donta Scott show.

Ok....it’s the Jahmir Young show with Resse and Scott taking turns playing the sidekick.

In their win over UCLA on December 22nd, Young went off, putting up 37 points, 3 assists, and 7 rebounds on 13-19 shooting, including going 4-6 from behind the arc. He also shot 7-9 from the free-throw line. That’s a crazy stat line against a UCLA team that, in theory, should have the athletes to hang with Young. If Purdue gets that version of Young, it could be an issue.

The offense is designed to get Young the ball at the top of the key and let him cook. He’s a 3-level scorer capable of driving to the rim, pulling up from mid-range, and firing away from deep. As you can see by his 19 attempts against UCLA, Young has a bright green light.

Dontae Scott can be a problem on the wing. When they think he has an advantage against the opposing 4, they will clear out and let him work. He’s a bully with the ball in his hand and will drive to the basket looking to both score and draw fouls. He’s a strong dude that will put his shoulder in a shot blockers chest and try to finish through contact. He matched Young with 9 free-throw attempts against the Bruins on his way to 17 points on 4-11 shooting. It wasn’t efficient, but it was enough with Young losing his mind.

Julian Reese is a weird player. Some games he’s the second option on offense. Sometimes, he’s an afterthought. He went 0-2 against UCLA and only contributed a point. On December 6, he went for 24 points on 7-11 shooting in an overtime win over Penn State on 7-11 shooting. I think this is more of a Young/Scott game. Reese likes to work on the left block and has a nice left-hand hook that he likes to use as his primary move. I don’t think that’ll work against Zach or TKR. Reese was an opportunistic scorer last season when he put up 10 points in Maryland’s upset of Purdue. Look for him to try and do the same thing this time around. He might not be the focus of the offense, but he’s quick to the ball and converts at the rim.

This offense is built around the guards and wings forcing the ball towards the basket. They are not a good shooting team. In fact, their 27.5% (337) shooting from deep is one of the worst in the nation. Normally, I get frustrated when Purdue overreacts on drives and leaves open shooters. Against Maryland, it’s protect the paint at all costs unless the Terps get hot from deep. Even if they do get hot, don’t stress too much because they haven’t been able to stay hot this season. This is not a good shooting team.

They try to make up for their poor shooting by hitting the offensive boards. Their 35.4% (38) offensive rebounding rate is solid. A good many of their rebounds are tip-outs their long wings corral. Purdue needs to limit them on the glass and keep Young from getting extra attempts.

Maryland’s going to use the same game plan every other team attempts to use against Purdue. They’re going to move the ball, grind clock and then try to get Young matched up against Loyer late. If Purdue contains Young, they win. Maryland doesn’t have enough to beat Purdue unless he goes off for 20+ (it might take 30+).

Defense

Maryland’s much better on defense than offense. The skill and shooting they lack on the offensive side are balanced by their squad of long-limbed athletes on defense. They may not be able to shoot, but they make it hard for their opponents to shoot as well.

Their steal percentage of 11.7(57) and Non-Steal turnover percentage of 9.6(51) give them a 21.3%(33) overall turnover percentage. This is what you need to worry about as a Purdue fan. This is a Maryland team that can control tempo with a dominant lead guard on offense and turn you over and make things difficult inside the arc. They only allow teams to shoot 42.4%(11) and that’s where Purdue wants to score, at least until they get hot from deep.

They’re going to make Purdue prove they can shoot their trash Under Armour Ball.

They’re going to clog the paint, make entry passes difficult, and try to limit Zach’s efficiency by jamming up the entry pass and forcing turnovers. They’ll let their long wings try to recover late and bother Purdue’s shooters. I look for them to play under the pick and roll, pack the lane.

Smith and Loyer’s floater game could be important against tomorrow.

They do have a 1-2-2 press they use to slow tempo. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them deploy it to slow down Smith and potentially take the ball out of hands early in Purdue’s set. It’ll be another good test for Purdue’s backcourt.

Matchup to Watch

Braden Smith vs Jahmir Young

The two best point guards in the Big 10 could have an epic showdown. Young and Smith are similar 3-level scorers. I anticipate Maryland trying to get Loyer on Young late in their offense. Purdue would be best served letting Smith work through screens instead of switching them because when Young sees a mismatch, he attacks. If you see the shot clock under 10 seconds and Young is dancing at the top of the key with a spread floor and Loyer trying to hang with him; something has gone wrong.

At the same time, I want Smith to go at Young at every opportunity on offense. Maryland can’t survive with Young in foul trouble. Smith can make it happen by attacking Young off the bounce, even if Young is playing him to drive. He’s going to dare Smith to hit pull-up 3’s and mid-range jumpers. Braden can (and will) hit those shots, but he’s not going to get Young in foul trouble pulling up. I wouldn’t mind a couple of hard drives at Young early, even if they result in Purdue turnovers.

Predictions

Prediction

KenPom

Purdue - 76

Maryland - 66

Confidence: 82%

Drew

Purdue - 68

Maryland - 57

I like Purdue in this one but think it’s going to be a struggle.

Maryland has the long-armed wings that can clog up entry passes and make it hard for Purdue to start their offense in the paint. If they can get Purdue obsessed with fighting to feed Edey on the block instead of playing basketball; they’ll have a chance. They

This is a team with the type of makeup Purdue can struggle against if they don’t shoot well, and Purdue occasionally forgets how to shoot on the road.

If Purdue shoots well, Maryland can’t hang.

Purdue doesn’t shoot well in this one but Maryland can’t score enough to pull the upset.