Coming off of the biggest win of the season, the first AP Top 25 rankings since 2007, and a wave of momentum, Purdue had maybe their worst performance of the season Saturday against Wisconsin. The Boilermakers also failed to cover the point spread set by Draft Kings of +3.
Hammer and Rails is back again to do a deeper dive into the betting lines this weekend.
This week, the Draft Kings oddsmakers have Purdue as a +7 point underdog on the road against Nebraska. This comes along with a Moneyline of +210 for the Boilermakers and an over/under set at 49 points.
As of this week, Purdue is now just 3-4 against the spread this season. Saturday’s loss was also the first time the over hit for a Boilermakers game this year. Wisconsin struck down several key statistics on the betting side of things for Purdue, dropping their points per game to 22.1 and increasing the points allowed per game from 14.0 to 16.3 on the year.
Nebraska comes into this game losers of their last two in a row and 3-5 overall this season. The Cornhuskers are 4-3 against the spread in their own right, with their failures coming against Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota. However, they were able to cover against Northwestern, Michigan State, Oklahoma, and Buffalo.
After failing to hit the over in their first four games, they have crossed the odds makers’ lines the last three games.
Since Jeff Brohm was hired at Purdue, he is 2-2 against Nebraska. Scott Frost came in a year after Brohm and is a subsequent 1-2 when facing the Boilermakers.
This is a very tough game to predict as Purdue laid an egg in their last contest, Nebraska has a poor win-loss record but has played teams like Minnesota, Oklahoma, and Michigan extremely close this year.
I think that Purdue will buckle down after last week’s disaster to play a much more competitive game in a fork in the road matchup against Nebraska.
Prediction: Purdue covers +7 and over 49 hits.
You can place bets on Draft Kings Sportsbook here to try and make some money while rooting for your Boilermakers!