Tuesday Night Is For Watching! Purdue’s Best Wins Take The Floor
Our Boilermakers do not play tonight, but that doesn't mean it is not a good night of college basketball. Some of the best wins we have this season take the floor tonight in games that can have a great impact on our NCAA profile. As it stands, we have five top 50 wins, but four of those can easily backslide out of the top 50 because they are at 42 or lower. That means we have to cheer for some other teams while taking care of our own business.
Tonight presents the rare opportunity to channel surf and scoreboard watch. Two of the teams that defeated us in the non-conference season play big games, while two of the teams we have doubled-up in the conference take the court in games where both absolutely need wins. Let's look at tonight's slate after the Jump:
Illinois at Ohio State, 7pm ESPN
Rooting Interest: Illinois
Mostly because of the whining from Ohio State fans concerning Jared Sullinger actually getting defended in the last two games, I really can't stand the Buckeyes anymore. The Fighting Illini are a team we have beaten twice, so if they could secure a season sweep of a good Ohio State team that would be even better. Of course, this is probably their last chance to save Bruce Weber's job and they have likely quit already, but strange things happen in this sport.
To have any chance at the NCAAs the Illini must win their last four conference games, starting tonight. Should that miracle happen it will deliver us two more top 50 wins. Don't count on it, however. The only reason they beat Ohio State in Champaign was Brandon Paul going completely apeshit.
Michigan at Northwestern, 8pm Big Ten Network
Rooting Interest: Northwestern
I am going to go ahead and call it. This is the biggest game ever in the history of Northwestern basketball. The Wildcats are 16-10, 6-8 in the B1G, but their RPI is above 50, thus keeping them alive in the NCAA Tournament discussion. Like Northwestern from each of the last three years, they have agonizing close losses that would have already secured the NCAA bid if they were wins. They lost at home by a point to Illinois, by two at home to Purdue, by two in overtime at Michigan, and by five at Indiana in a game they led late.
Win this, and they only need to beat Penn State and Iowa to reach 9-9 in the Big Ten, which might be enough. They also have a home game against Ohio State coming up. Playing the Wolverines at home after taking them to overtime in Ann Arbor is too good of a chance. Northwestern absolutely needs this, and since they are two of our top 50 wins, we need them to get it.
Miami (FL) at Maryland, 8pm ESPN3
Rooting Interest: Miami
The Hurricanes have four games left and are right on the Bubble of the NCAA Tournament. They are also a top 50 win for us at the moment too. They beat the Terrapins 90-86 in double overtime in Coral Gables, but they need this road victory as well as a Saturday home win over Florida State to greatly improve their profile. Get both, and they are probably in the tourney with a win over Boston College on March 3.
My wife's allegiances aside, the Canes really need this game for us as well. Top 50 non-conference wins are gold, and we need Miami and Iona to stay there.
Illinois-Chicago at Butler, 7pm
Rooting Interest: Butler
We can't do anything to reverse the Butler result, but the Bulldogs can do us a favor by staying hot and climbing into the top 100, erasing the "bad loss" stigma of that game at Conseco. Beating Illinois-Chicago (8-18, 3-12 Horizon League) gets the Bulldogs to 18-12 overall and closer to the 100 line. They can also get some league help.
Cleveland State at Green Bay, 8pm
Rooting Interest: Green Bay
You may wonder what a random Horizon League game has to do with us, but a Cleveland State loss puts Butler in position for a second place finish in the Horizon League. That gains them a bye to the semifinals in the Horizon League tourney, which will be played at Valparaiso if the Crusaders beat last place Loyola (IL) tonight. Butler two games from an NCAA bid is a very good thing for our profile, especially since anything other than a Butler-Valpo final would be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse in that regard.
Xavier at Massachusetts, 7pm
Rooting Interest: Xavier
Xavier needs to be solidly in the field and not on the Bubble, where their win can be used as a sort of tiebreaker when evaluating similar profiles.
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Random Question
Which is a better position for us? Be a top-50 RPI team but lose a few of those top-50 wins? Or fall outside the top-50 but see a couple wins ascend to top-50 status?
by rbbaker on Feb 21, 2012 11:58 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Right now we're at 52 in the RPI
So I would say the elevation of those wins. Unfortunately, only Illinois and Minnesota have a semi-realistic chance of getting that elevation
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
by BoilerTMill on Feb 21, 2012 12:29 PM EST up reply actions
I think I tend to agree with you on that one
I also think Butler becoming a top-100 team (and thus removing the bad loss stink) is most important of all.
Mentioned this this weekend as well, but if we hold serve at home (a big “if” this season) and lose both road games upcoming, we’ll be 9-9 with all our B1G wins coming against the bottom half of the conference and all but one of our losses (curse you Penn State!) coming against the top half.
That scenario almost assures us a 6 seed in the BT Tourney
unless NW or Iowa win out (unlikely). In that case, we are likely playing PSU or Neb again on Thursday of the BT Tourney, and probably need to win that game to feel safe.
A win there also gives us another shot at a quality win against the #3 seed (probably Wisc or Mich). But I think I’d feel pretty safe even if we lost that one. But losing any game to Neb or PSU from here on out will make me very uneasy on Selection Sunday.
Random Question
Which is a better position for us? Be a top-50 RPI team but lose a few of those top-50 wins? Or fall outside the top-50 but see a couple wins ascend to top-50 status?
by rbbaker on Feb 21, 2012 11:58 AM EST via mobile reply actions
The SI article below shows last years snubs
While most are above 50 RPI, a couple schools below 50 had bad losses. Saint Mary’s lost to a High Point and it killed them. To answer your question, RPI 50 seemed to have big influence as of last year.
by SmallMarketBigPlays on Feb 21, 2012 1:58 PM EST up reply actions
*a high point type team above 300 RPI – so we were close to St. Mary’s status….
by SmallMarketBigPlays on Feb 21, 2012 1:59 PM EST up reply actions
I know it's a typo
But you have Northwestern as the rooting interest in the Miami/Maryland game. I know we’re all smart enough to figure out what you meant but just to let you know :)
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No, really. We need Northwestern to win the Miami game.
Because we swept them.
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Feb 21, 2012 1:58 PM EST up reply actions
Northwestern is invading the Miami-Maryland game tonight
They want not just one good win, but three tonight
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
When you think about it, hanging on against Iona is probably saving us right now
If we lose that game we play Western Michigan and Maryland instead of Temple and Alabama. In a way, it earned us two good wins because it allowed us to play Temple.
Too bad Wichita State couldn’t have beaten Alabama in the other semifinal down in PR. We would have had an easier time against them int he final (better matchup) and they are on fire at the moment.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
I think I just saw on ESPN
that Lunardi had Northwestern and Miami in his “last four” in the field. So wins for them tonight would be huge and would help us out in the process as you said.
Obviously
our victory against Illinois took the life out of them. I don’t get how a team completely quits on a coach like that. Even if you know he’s getting fired, you think they’d want to show some pride during the last few weeks of the season. On another note, how did we lose to Xavier again?
Tonight is going horrible for us across the board
Kansas St is beating Missouri and Seton Hall is beating Georgetown.
Both KSU and SH are potential comparison teams to Purdue for a bubble shot. We can’t have them win tonight.
byrd charged with class b misdemeanor
http://m.indystar.com/localheadlines/article?a=2012120221045&f=1242
court date 2 days before sweet 16
lookin at a max 6 months jail time but will likely get 1 to 2 years probation and a $1000 fine
http://www.ai.org/legislative/ic/code/title35/ar50/ch3.html
he could walk with a diversion too…not uncommon for a minor first offense.
by Boilers35 on Feb 21, 2012 11:39 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
Good to see that the city isn't going to charge him with anything else...
To the best of my knowledge Byrd could fly to Lafayette, plead guilty, and fly back to where the team is all in the matter of a day if it were necessary.
over thinking
All of this. Purdue takes care if the two home games, there is nothing to worry about.
by ruascott on Feb 21, 2012 9:37 PM EST via mobile reply actions
I think most would agree
It’s just fun to be excited about college basketball and have a team to root for. Especially if you are rooting for said team due to your love for Purdue, or hate for IU (same thing really).
This got shitty for us in a hurry.
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Northwestern
I’m still not sure why they chose not to go two for one at the end of regulation.
But anyway, I guess the point per minute offense has it’s limits…
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