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Tuesday Night Is For Watching! Purdue’s Best Wins Take The Floor

Our Boilermakers do not play tonight, but that doesn't mean it is not a good night of college basketball. Some of the best wins we have this season take the floor tonight in games that can have a great impact on our NCAA profile. As it stands, we have five top 50 wins, but four of those can easily backslide out of the top 50 because they are at 42 or lower. That means we have to cheer for some other teams while taking care of our own business.

Tonight presents the rare opportunity to channel surf and scoreboard watch. Two of the teams that defeated us in the non-conference season play big games, while two of the teams we have doubled-up in the conference take the court in games where both absolutely need wins. Let's look at tonight's slate after the Jump:

Star-divide

Illinois at Ohio State, 7pm ESPN

Rooting Interest: Illinois

Mostly because of the whining from Ohio State fans concerning Jared Sullinger actually getting defended in the last two games, I really can't stand the Buckeyes anymore. The Fighting Illini are a team we have beaten twice, so if they could secure a season sweep of a good Ohio State team that would be even better. Of course, this is probably their last chance to save Bruce Weber's job and they have likely quit already, but strange things happen in this sport.

To have any chance at the NCAAs the Illini must win their last four conference games, starting tonight. Should that miracle happen it will deliver us two more top 50 wins. Don't count on it, however. The only reason they beat Ohio State in Champaign was Brandon Paul going completely apeshit.

Michigan at Northwestern, 8pm Big Ten Network

Rooting Interest: Northwestern

I am going to go ahead and call it. This is the biggest game ever in the history of Northwestern basketball. The Wildcats are 16-10, 6-8 in the B1G, but their RPI is above 50, thus keeping them alive in the NCAA Tournament discussion. Like Northwestern from each of the last three years, they have agonizing close losses that would have already secured the NCAA bid if they were wins. They lost at home by a point to Illinois, by two at home to Purdue, by two in overtime at Michigan, and by five at Indiana in a game they led late.

Win this, and they only need to beat Penn State and Iowa to reach 9-9 in the Big Ten, which might be enough. They also have a home game against Ohio State coming up. Playing the Wolverines at home after taking them to overtime in Ann Arbor is too good of a chance. Northwestern absolutely needs this, and since they are two of our top 50 wins, we need them to get it.

Miami (FL) at Maryland, 8pm ESPN3

Rooting Interest: Miami

The Hurricanes have four games left and are right on the Bubble of the NCAA Tournament. They are also a top 50 win for us at the moment too. They beat the Terrapins 90-86 in double overtime in Coral Gables, but they need this road victory as well as a Saturday home win over Florida State to greatly improve their profile. Get both, and they are probably in the tourney with a win over Boston College on March 3.

My wife's allegiances aside, the Canes really need this game for us as well. Top 50 non-conference wins are gold, and we need Miami and Iona to stay there.

Illinois-Chicago at Butler, 7pm

Rooting Interest: Butler

We can't do anything to reverse the Butler result, but the Bulldogs can do us a favor by staying hot and climbing into the top 100, erasing the "bad loss" stigma of that game at Conseco. Beating Illinois-Chicago (8-18, 3-12 Horizon League) gets the Bulldogs to 18-12 overall and closer to the 100 line. They can also get some league help.

Cleveland State at Green Bay, 8pm

Rooting Interest: Green Bay

You may wonder what a random Horizon League game has to do with us, but a Cleveland State loss puts Butler in position for a second place finish in the Horizon League. That gains them a bye to the semifinals in the Horizon League tourney, which will be played at Valparaiso if the Crusaders beat last place Loyola (IL) tonight. Butler two games from an NCAA bid is a very good thing for our profile, especially since anything other than a Butler-Valpo final would be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse in that regard.

Xavier at Massachusetts, 7pm

Rooting Interest: Xavier

Xavier needs to be solidly in the field and not on the Bubble, where their win can be used as a sort of tiebreaker when evaluating similar profiles.

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Random Question

Which is a better position for us? Be a top-50 RPI team but lose a few of those top-50 wins? Or fall outside the top-50 but see a couple wins ascend to top-50 status?

by rbbaker on Feb 21, 2012 11:58 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Right now we're at 52 in the RPI

So I would say the elevation of those wins. Unfortunately, only Illinois and Minnesota have a semi-realistic chance of getting that elevation

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by BoilerTMill on Feb 21, 2012 12:29 PM EST up reply actions  

I think I tend to agree with you on that one

I also think Butler becoming a top-100 team (and thus removing the bad loss stink) is most important of all.

Mentioned this this weekend as well, but if we hold serve at home (a big “if” this season) and lose both road games upcoming, we’ll be 9-9 with all our B1G wins coming against the bottom half of the conference and all but one of our losses (curse you Penn State!) coming against the top half.

by rbbaker on Feb 21, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

That scenario almost assures us a 6 seed in the BT Tourney

unless NW or Iowa win out (unlikely). In that case, we are likely playing PSU or Neb again on Thursday of the BT Tourney, and probably need to win that game to feel safe.

A win there also gives us another shot at a quality win against the #3 seed (probably Wisc or Mich). But I think I’d feel pretty safe even if we lost that one. But losing any game to Neb or PSU from here on out will make me very uneasy on Selection Sunday.

by Franklin Co on Feb 21, 2012 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Random Question

Which is a better position for us? Be a top-50 RPI team but lose a few of those top-50 wins? Or fall outside the top-50 but see a couple wins ascend to top-50 status?

by rbbaker on Feb 21, 2012 11:58 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

The SI article below shows last years snubs

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/andy_glockner/03/13/ncaa.tournament.biggest.snubs/index.html

While most are above 50 RPI, a couple schools below 50 had bad losses. Saint Mary’s lost to a High Point and it killed them. To answer your question, RPI 50 seemed to have big influence as of last year.

by SmallMarketBigPlays on Feb 21, 2012 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

*a high point type team above 300 RPI – so we were close to St. Mary’s status….

by SmallMarketBigPlays on Feb 21, 2012 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I know it's a typo

But you have Northwestern as the rooting interest in the Miami/Maryland game. I know we’re all smart enough to figure out what you meant but just to let you know :)

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by tree4three on Feb 21, 2012 12:07 PM EST reply actions  

No, really. We need Northwestern to win the Miami game.

Because we swept them.

To your call once more we rally....

by BoilerPaulie on Feb 21, 2012 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Northwestern is invading the Miami-Maryland game tonight

They want not just one good win, but three tonight

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 21, 2012 2:26 PM EST up reply actions  

When you think about it, hanging on against Iona is probably saving us right now

If we lose that game we play Western Michigan and Maryland instead of Temple and Alabama. In a way, it earned us two good wins because it allowed us to play Temple.

Too bad Wichita State couldn’t have beaten Alabama in the other semifinal down in PR. We would have had an easier time against them int he final (better matchup) and they are on fire at the moment.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 21, 2012 2:28 PM EST reply actions  

I think I just saw on ESPN

that Lunardi had Northwestern and Miami in his “last four” in the field. So wins for them tonight would be huge and would help us out in the process as you said.

by InsideMackey on Feb 21, 2012 6:51 PM EST reply actions  

Illinois at O$U

Can’t even watch it anymore… Need the NW Mich game very badly at this point

by oser1122 on Feb 21, 2012 7:36 PM EST reply actions  

Obviously

our victory against Illinois took the life out of them. I don’t get how a team completely quits on a coach like that. Even if you know he’s getting fired, you think they’d want to show some pride during the last few weeks of the season. On another note, how did we lose to Xavier again?

by boilerg on Feb 21, 2012 9:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Tonight is going horrible for us across the board

Kansas St is beating Missouri and Seton Hall is beating Georgetown.

Both KSU and SH are potential comparison teams to Purdue for a bubble shot. We can’t have them win tonight.

by tristang on Feb 21, 2012 7:49 PM EST reply actions  

Good to see that the city isn't going to charge him with anything else...

To the best of my knowledge Byrd could fly to Lafayette, plead guilty, and fly back to where the team is all in the matter of a day if it were necessary.

by oser1122 on Feb 21, 2012 8:55 PM EST reply actions  

over thinking

All of this. Purdue takes care if the two home games, there is nothing to worry about.

by ruascott on Feb 21, 2012 9:37 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

I think most would agree

It’s just fun to be excited about college basketball and have a team to root for. Especially if you are rooting for said team due to your love for Purdue, or hate for IU (same thing really).

by oser1122 on Feb 21, 2012 9:40 PM EST up reply actions  

This got shitty for us in a hurry.

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by HawkeyeBoiler on Feb 21, 2012 10:06 PM EST reply actions  

uk might get beat

so maybe no ‘iu saved ’76’ crap

by Strawmy on Feb 21, 2012 10:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Northwestern

I’m still not sure why they chose not to go two for one at the end of regulation.

But anyway, I guess the point per minute offense has it’s limits…

http://theboilermaker.blogspot.com/

by Bryan Steedman on Feb 22, 2012 2:55 AM EST reply actions  

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