I know that some people have gotten kind of down on our chances, but I don't think that they should. Right now we are 6-6 and are 6th in the conference standings and (you would assume) the highest ranked team that isn't officially ranked in the top 25. Now as we project the games we should win and shouldn't win, we SHOULD probably end up at 8-10. Wins at home over PSU and NEB will make us 8-10, and are our only games we will be favored.
There are four teams directly behind us in the standings at 5-7, so let's take a look at those teams. I will put in bold their record if they win all of their home games against non-ranked teams and road games against PSU and NEB:
Iowa has the best shot at making it to 9 wins with 4 games left against teams in the bottom half of the standings. However, 3 of them are on the road. 7-11
Illinois only has 3 games left against non-ranked teams and only 2 against teams in the bottom half of the standings (we are the non ranked team in the top half). 7-11
Northwestern has only 3 games vs. non-ranked teams. Only one of them are at home, but they play PSU on the road. 7-11
Minnesota only has one game at home vs. a non-ranked team and don't play at PSU or NEB either. 6-12
Now, in CBB there is NO CHANCE that every game goes according to plan. However, we are a game ahead of the 7th place teams, and their schedules don't suggest that they should catch us. And even if they do, it will probably be just to tie us for 6th. So if we are 8-10, but still in the top half of the hardest conference in the nation, we are going to the NCAA. Should we be there with a below .500 record? Not in my opinion, but if we get there I am going to be excited regardless.
PS: How about we just beat the Sh*t out of Illinois and Indiana at their "halls" and go into the NCAA 10-8 while showing all the local recruits what we are about!!!