FanPost

Expansion Rumors Heat Up Again

Apparently one summer wasn’t enough to wrap up "Expansion-palooza." Recent comments made by both school officials and current Texas governor (and former Aggie) Rick Perry have led many to believe that there may be some actual truth in rumors that Texas A&M is looking to take its ball and play elsewhere.

Word on the playground is that officials at A&M are not pleased with Texas and its new Texas TV deal and are talking to the SEC about a possible move. Now granted this could all be smoke and mirrors by A&M to try and get the Longhorns and ESPN to change their tune about exactly what will air on the Longhorn TV network (hint: it involves teenage boys). But if there is any truth to it then there may be far reaching consequences for all of college football. Let us not forget last summer that we played Expansion Missile Crisis with the Pac-10 for a while. All it took for super conferences to become a reality last summer was for either Texas to jump to the Pac-10 or for the Big Ten to convince Notre Dame that Texas was going to and that they needed to sign up now to save themselves.

Far more interesting to me is the other half of these rumors that Missouri is actually trying to secure passage into the SEC as well. If this is true then the Big 12’s goose is cooked and we can start to look for its pieces being sold off. The question is what happens to the rest of the conferences? I have come up with a few scenarios here and I look forward to my fellow Boilermaker’s views on the situation.

Scenario One: Doomsday Cometh

Images_medium

via t3.gstatic.com

(This is a work of pure fantasy. I realize there are a lot of if’s and maybe’s in it but let’s all play along)

One sunny morning you turn on ESPN to hear the talking heads announcing that Texas A&M and Missouri have completed negotiations with the SEC and will be joining the conference in 2012 as full participation members. Stunned, you decide to hit the internet to see what else may be happening in the wide, wide world of sports. You soon see on Yahoo Sports that Dan Beebe has announced an emergency meeting of the remaining Big 12 members to try and salvage what is left of his conference. Almost immediately following this announcement is Oklahoma and Oklahoma State’s announcement that they have accepted a bid to join the Pac-12. Beebe reads the writing on the wall and by lunch has publicly acknowledged that the Big 12 will likely dissolve by day’s end. This news sets off a flurry of activity including Jim Delany announcing that the Big Ten will be sending out at least two bids that very afternoon…

Meanwhile on the west coast The Pac-12 knocks on Texas’s door but the Longhorns realize that much like BYU, their yellow brick road leads to independence. Things get moving though with two of the non-BCS darlings in TCU & Boise State. Boise State is committed to the Mountain West Conference and TCU to the Big East but the Pac-12 is committed to bringing them aboard…

By 3 pm EST both the Big Ten and the SEC are calling press conferences to make major announcements. The SEC publically invites both Georgia Tech and Clemson to join and the Big Ten announces they have come to terms with both Notre Dame and the University of Pittsburgh to become the 13th and 14th members of the conference. Georgia Tech and Clemson soon make announcements of their plans to accept bids to join the SEC…

As evening fast approaches ESPN reports that all of the remaining Big East schools (UConn, Syracuse, Rutgers, West Virginia, Louisville, and Cincinnati) except for USF have voted to basically merge the Big East into the ACC and create a 16 team super conference. They have also released TCU from their commitment to the conference. TCU quickly follows with their own announcement that they have joined the PAC-12. By 7 pm EST Larry Scott announces he has negotiated a deal with the Mountain West Conference for Boise State to complete the newly minted Pac-16 Conference. As the dust settles on Day One of the new status quo many questions remain unanswered. The leftovers of the Big 12 (Kansas, Kansas State, Baylor, Texas Tech, and Iowa State) are still up for grabs, USF has left itself without a home, and the remains of the Mountain West and the WAC need to be sorted out. All of which has universities working furiously through the night in order to ascertain their futures in the new college football world.

By the time dawn rises on the next day it becomes official, the Big 12 is no more. Texas Tech misses out on becoming part of the Pac-16 or joining the new SEC and settles for joining the Mountain West Conference. They are followed soon after by Baylor and most of the remnants of the WAC (Idaho, Utah State, San Jose State, and New Mexico State). Kansas and Kansas state both publicly petition the Big Ten for an invite into their conference. By midday the omega team of the Big 12, Iowa State, secures passage to join fellow refugee Texas Tech in the Mountain West. At lunch Conference USA enters the fray by publicly offering bids to both Louisiana Tech (the sole WAC member left) and USF. Jim Delany comes on to the Big Ten network at 1:30 pm EST to announce that the Big Ten has extended invitations to Kansas and Kansas State which they have accepted. He also announces that the new 16 team conference will be unveiling in 2012 and will feature a new name to be announced at a later date. As the afternoon wears on the dust settles and the new college football landscape has been revealed. Gone are the WAC, the Big 12, and the Big East. Five 16 team super conferences stand as the new members of the automatic BCS bid; the SEC, the Pac-16, the Atlantic East Conference, the West-16 (formerly the Mountain West), and the Big Midwest (formerly the Big Ten). The MAC, the C-USA, and the Sun-Belt all stand as mid major conferences with four teams being Independents (Army, Navy, Texas, and BYU).  

 

Atlantic East


Big Midwest


PAC-16


SEC


West-16

North


East


Coastal


East


North

Boston College


Indiana


California


Alabama


Air Force

Maryland


Michigan


Oregon


South Carolina


Colorado State

Cincy


Michigan State


Oregon State


Auburn


UNLV

Louisville


Purdue


Stanford


Florida


Wyoming

Rutgers


Ohio State


UCLA


Georgia


Nevada

Syracuse


Penn State


USC


Kentucky


Idaho

Uconn


Pitt


Washington


Georgia Tech


Utah State

West Virginia


Notre Dame


Washington State


Clemson


Iowa State

South


West


Mountain


West


South

Duke


Wisconsin


Boise State


LSU


New Mexico

Florida State


Nebraska


Utah


Mississippi State


San Diego State

Miami


Kansas


Oklahoma 


Ole Miss


Fresno State

NCSU


Kansas State


Oklahoma State


Arkansas


Hawaii

North Carolina


Minnesota


TCU


Tennessee


New Mexico State

Virginia


Iowa


Colorado


Vanderbilt


San Jose State

Virginia Tech


Illinois


Arizona


Missouri


Baylor

Wake Forest


Northwestern


Arizona State


Texas A&M


Texas Tech










MAC


C-USA


Sun-Belt


Independents



Akron


ECU


Arkansas State


Army



Ball State


Houston


FAU


Navy



Bowling Green


Marshall


FIU


Brigham Young



Buffalo


Memphis


MTSU


Texas



Central Michigan


Rice


North Texas





Easten Michigan


SMU


Troy





Kent State


Tulane


UofL Lafayette





Miami


Tulsa


UofL Monroe





Northern Illinois


UAB


Western Kentucky





Ohio


UCF


South Alabama (2013)





Temple


USM







Toledo


UTEP







Western Michigan


USF









Louisiana Tech







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scenario Two: DEFCON 2

Defcon_medium

via macedoniaonline.eu

In this scenario the SEC still ends up with Texas A&M and Missouri in its camp. At 14 teams the SEC becomes the largest conference in the football world (the MAC has 13). Instead of setting everyone off though it merely raises the stakes of the situation. Now everyone is just sitting around waiting for everyone else to make a move. I will interject my personal opinion and say that no conference commissioner wants to be the one that brings about super-conferences. So I think in this world the Big 12 become the Big 8 and everyone just eyes each other waiting for the other shoe to drop. Eventually something will break and we will see the development of super conferences though.

 

Scenario Three: The World Keeps on Turning

Captions-hilarious-9_medium

via thechive.files.wordpress.com

This is the universe where either Texas decides to bargain or the other Big 12 schools force them to. This leads to A&M and Mizzou staying put and seeing what the future holds. The other option is that the SEC decides that the ends don’t justify the means and simply reject both schools outright. This is the most likely scenario but the least fun to read about in the offseason.

Personally I think it is but a matter of time before somebody jumps ship and the dominoes start to fall. Texas has created a toxic situation out west that has engendered a bubbling rage amongst their fellow Big 12 schools. Eventually it will boil over and that will be that. There are a few things I am sure of: 1. Texas will end up as an independent school. 2. Iowa State, Baylor, and the Kansas schools will get screwed in the whole ordeal most likely (unless they end up in our camp). 3. The Pac-Insert future number here will likely come out ahead of the other conferences in terms of "good" schools. 4. And finally that the Big 10 will play the situation like a fiddle and end up with Notre Dame in the end plus a mixture of Big East and Big 12 teams.

So that’s just me, I am eager to hear what you guys think. Unless it’s that I am an idiot. 

Items in the FanPosts is entirely at the discretion of those that post them. They do not represent the views of Hammer & Rails, SBNation, or Purdue University in any way.

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