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Brandon Wood: Will the Boilers Get a One and Done?

The nature of our program is not to recruit one and done players. We want guys who will stick around for a few years and work within an Ubuntu-like team atmosphere rather than be a hired gun on the way to the NBA. I think this is why we scare away the blue chips of blue chips because we want at least a two year commitment. We haven't had a guy leave early (and stay in the draft) since Glenn Robinson, and he made sense because he was the Player of the Year and #1 overall pick, meaning it was a no-brainer for him to leave.

We may be in line for a different type of one and done. Brandon Wood, last year's Horizon League Player of the Year at Valparaiso has declared for the NBA Draft, but hasn't hired an agent. He is also in line to graduate next month, meaning that he could transfer to another school that offers a graduate program that Valpo does not and he would be immediately eligible for his final year. He began his career at Southern Illinois, then transferred to a junior college before playing the last two years at Valpo. That would make him the very rare Division-I player at three different schools. There is a precedent here, as Sam Maniscalco recently transferred to Illinois under similar circumstances.

So far Wood has spoken to Michigan State (who has a spot available scholarship-wise for a one-and-done) and he is trying to talk to Purdue. The spot that we might have had available is going to Robbie Hummel, so we do not have room unless someone transfers or Jacob Lawson goes to a prep school. Lawson going to a prep school would, in turn, shove a 2012 guy to a prep school and likely end any Gary Harris discussion, so I don't see that scenario happening. Still, there appears to be some smoke here if Wood is going to talk to Purdue.

Star-divide

One thing in our favor is that Wood is an in-state kid, so he could, in theory, decide to pay in-state tuition (much cheaper) and just walk-on. He played for my beloved Wildkats and there is no question of his offensive talents. Early in his career he was a "Shoot early, shoot often" guard. At Kokomo this was harmful, as he rarely got his teammates involved and they would often look better when he was on the bench. It was an issue in his very brief time for the Salukis too. He scored 11 points in his debut, but his coach publically called him out for a lack of defense.

After transferring to Valpo he has had some very big games. He scored 30 at North Carolina last season and 39 against Georgia Southern. This season his scoring dropped by a point, but he increased his assists from 2.3 to 3.1 per game. Valpo's record went from 15-17 to 23-12 as a result, and the Crusaders were on the verge of the NCAA Tournament as an at large team until a two game slide the last week of the regular season knocked them from 20-8 and a top 50 RPI to out of the pool.

There is no question about Wood's offensive talent, and that is why I think Purdue would be interested. He averaged 16.7 points per game last season, with a high of 35 in a 103-102 win over Oakland. He can fill it up by creating his own shot and he's a good 3-point shooter (37% for his career). Should he decide to come, I can see him easing the burden of losing E`Twaun Moore while Terone Johnson develops.

How would the minutes be divided?

Here is my projected starting lineup if Wood comes:

PG: Lewis Jackson - Sr.

SG: Brandon Wood - Sr.

SF/3G: D.J. Byrd - Jr. or Ryne Smith - Sr. (depending on matchups)

PF - Robbie Hummel - Sr.

C - Travis Carroll - Soph.

We also have some great depth options:

6th man: Terone Johnson - So.

7th man: Kelsey Barlow - Jr. (I see him as a point forward type)

Hot hand shooter - Anthony Johnson - Fr. (Ryne Smith is here too if we need to go big)

Top reserve forwards: Jacob Lawson - Fr., Donne Hale - Fr.

Backup Center: Sandi Marcius - So.

Deep bench: John Hart - Jr., Patrick Bade - Jr. Dru Anthrop, Jr.

The negative here is that assuming Wood is a walk-on, he pushes Hart as a scholarship player further down the bench. He becomes a luxury in that TJ doesn't need to become E`Twaun 2.0 immediately, but if he does we have two dynamic scoring guards. AJ and Ryno would likely see their open looks from deep open up since Wood is a slasher, so if he can find them we might just need Ryno and AJ to patrol the perimeter and knock down open looks when LewJack and Wood drive to the basket and kick out.

My only question on Wood is his defense. Valpo is far from a defense-first team. In fact, they are quite the opposite of Purdue in that regard. It would be perfect if we could trade out Wood for Barlow in every offense/defense possession change, but basketball does not allow line changes like hockey. Kokomo was 5-16 his senior year and gave up 62.7 points per game. The following season, losing essentially only Wood, they went 13-9 and gave up 55.9. This is far from Wood's fault, but after watching both of those teams it is clear that Wood is only an asset when he is on the same page with his teammates. That will be crucial if he decides to come to Purdue, especially on the defensive end. We cannot have him as a weak link in our defense.

Ultimately, I hope he chooses to come to Purdue and we can find a way to work him into the mix. There is absolutely no question that we could use his offensive talents. In fact, gaining him could put us back in the discussion for the Big Ten title (even though I still believe it is a plausible goal). We should know by May 8th, as that is the deadline for him to pull out of the draft. It looks like we do get to be on Draft Watch one more time.

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Valpo's Defense

Valpo had the third best defense in the Horizon League this season if you count all games played. If you are only looking at Horizon League games, Valpo has the highest rated defense (Yes even better than Butler’s) according to Kenpom.com.

As for Wood individually, his steal % of 3.1 would have been the best on the team (Barlow was at 2.5).

I don’t know see any reason to completely dismiss his defense based on this information. And I didn’t see enough of his games to determine whether or not he would be a good defender in Purdue’s system.

by weavebeast on Apr 19, 2011 10:19 AM EDT reply actions  

I like him, but sounds like too many question marks ...

I don’t mind a one-and-done if he’s like a Jared Sullinger or Harrison Barnes (even without that extra year). But Woods provide a small upgrade with some real question mark. The only reason for him to stay an extra year is to improve his draft stock, and he will need to score and score and score to get that attention. Thus, I just don’t see him buy into our defense-first team concept and pass up good shots for a great open shot for a teammate.

Besides, team chemistry is a vastly underrated component to team success especially because it is not measurable. But look at the Boston Celtics. They are merely a .500 team after trading away Kendrick Perkins, even though Jeff Green is a huge upgrade in offense for that team. You wanna have guys who is willing to fight for each other and who doesn’t mind sharing the glory. Imagine how others in the locker room would feel about Woods if his presence means someone loses his scholarship (or bumped to prep school or buried deeper in the bench).

So overall, as tempting as it is to have a good offensive player like Woods, I don’t think he is worth the risk. I’d say pass.

by charlespig on Apr 19, 2011 10:22 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree

I’d have to agree. Our scholarship situation is tricky enough at the moment. As much as it would make our situation more flexible, and possibly allow us to dramatically improve our incoming classes, we certainly don’t want to Crean anyone.

And anyone that thinks Gary Harris is a pipe dream, well may be right, but I do believe the longer it goes the better it is for Purdue. And I think a very strong contender may have been, at the least, brought back to the pack with a disappointing first round loss.

by Crunchy on Apr 19, 2011 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

For reference...

Also…
- Gary Harris is all but a pipe-dream. If I were a betting man, I would bet Robbie Johnson takes that final scholarship (that we don’t have room for).

- Even though Lawson would benefit from a year in Prep School, I don’t think it’s realistic to think Painter would ‘force’ him to do that unless it was stipulated in his offer like Donnie Hale.

- I wouldn’t put money on him taking starting position just out of the gates. There is definitely a learning curve to play a completely new system and considering Painter’s is so defensive oriented, it’d be hard to image Woods taking that starting spot over TJ or Barlow….and even immediately taking minutes from Hart in certain respects. He could sure, but it’s definitely not a sure thing. But I do like the option he would provide to the team.

by Purdue_Pete on Apr 19, 2011 10:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Starter

I agree that I don’t think he comes in as a regular starter. My first reaction to all of this was that he would be a great addition because of his ability to score. The more I think about it the more I only want it to happen if he is coming off of the bench in place of someone like John Hart or Patrick Bade. I really like TJ and AJ and I don’t want to hurt their development, even if it means bringing in a more experienced player. Same goes for Lawson. I’d much rather use the spot to develop young players than give it to a player who is only here for one year. If someone leaves and there is a spot, great. If he comes in as a walk on, great, but I don’t want anyone forced out.

by BoilersFan on Apr 19, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

pass

seems like a great player but we just dont have the scholarship flexibility right now. if he wants to walk-on great, but we can’t afford to give him a scholarship. If he was Harrison Barnes good and wanted to come here then I’d give him a scholarship.

by boiler2010 on Apr 19, 2011 11:59 AM EDT reply actions  

His name is in the NBA draft as a junior

If he is a special player, and he would be playing alongside Hummel (who we now also only have for a year), I say let’s do it if we can.

by jffiv on Apr 19, 2011 1:19 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm buying it 100%

I’d love to see Barlow be out of here, and if this occurs then we can use Wood to fill the vacancy until 2012 where there are actually still players left such as Hammons, Harris, and others.

by OldSchoolStyle on Apr 19, 2011 3:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm all in if...

someone isn’t back next year, such as: Barlow, Hart, or Bade. I certainly don’t want to force anyone out but if one of these guys chooses to leave and we have an opening for one year than I would be just fine with this move. I’m sure defense will have been stressed before he even accepts a scholarship offer so I don’t think defense will be an issue. Obviously he can shoot and score so I don’t see it as a bad thing. I’d still rather have Barlow because of his defense and length but I would probably take Wood over Hart and Bade.

by BoilersFan on Apr 19, 2011 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Scoring will be an issue next year

Hart will most likely not see much playing time as the year and years go on. If he wants to start or get meaningful playing time he should look into transferring, he is a good ball player but not quite as talented as those in front of him. By no means should he be forced out but a transfer could make sense depending on Harts priorities. If a spot did open up, I really think Wood would be a great addition. We can’t kid ourselves, scoring will be an issue next year. A veteran, experienced college player will help.

Unfortunately I see him at MSU, makes a lot of sense for him.

by BoilerRoleModel on Apr 20, 2011 1:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Cant have enough scorers

I think Painter has to keep an open mind here with Wood because of the Barlow situation. Painter has said that Barlow has things off the court that he needs to handle. What if Barlow doesnt do those things?
I know we are a defensive-minded team, but you can always use guys that can score the ball, especially guys that have as much experience as Wood. There is no guarantee that Robbie is going to be Robbie of 09-10. Even if he is 100% healthy, its going to take some time for him to get his rhythm and legs back.
One thing Iv’e noticed on twitter is that all the guys are really talking to each other EXCEPT to Hart. I have seen where JJ and Hart still talk, but seems like Hart is a little distant from the team. Maybe nothing…but who knows

by boilerball5 on Apr 20, 2011 8:02 AM EDT reply actions  

“I think this is why we scare away the blue chips of blue chips because we want at least a two year commitment. "

hahaha then why do you guys go after so many and then when they make their top 5 list and you guys are never on it you say “we didnt want them anyway” “they wouldnt fit into our team system” its what your going to eventually say about harris.

by IU on Apr 20, 2011 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Looks as though

you are advocating kicking someone either off the team or forcing someone to go to prep for a year. If it was a 2012 or later player, sure take the committ and let people have time to work it out both on and off the floor. But you are talking about a matter of months.

He only is pushing to get in w/Purdue because he knows he could get a lot of playing time with the lack of offensive options next year. All in all, this would likely end up making Purdue a worse team next season.

by ruascott on Apr 20, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Some of you are ridiculous...

Defense is important, but last time I checked you have to score more than your opponent to win. To say we would be worse adding a guy that would probably average 14 ppg is stupid.

by OldSchoolStyle on Apr 20, 2011 4:20 PM EDT reply actions  

not really

Chemistry is critical, and having someone that scores 14 but doesnt play solid defense isn’t going to help. I’ve never seen him play so I’m not sure he isn’t a good defender, but if he isn’t it really wouldn’t be a good fit no matter how much he scores. Our ability to score next year will surprise alot of people, I think. We certainly won’t score like we did this year, but we won’t be the worst in the Big Ten by any means either.
And I still say Harris may still be in the cards. I just have this feeling that Izzo won’t be at MSU for Brandon Dawson’s entire career, assuming Dawson stays at least 3 years (I really don’t see him deveoloping so quickly that he leaves that early). I think the NBA will eventually pull Izzo away. That has to at least be a passing concern for MSU recruits.

by Crunchy on Apr 20, 2011 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Harris is not

going to Purdue. Pretty much 0% chance. He’ll got to either MSU or IU. Louisville is the only wild card at this point.

by ruascott on Apr 22, 2011 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Scholarships

Does anybody know how many scholarships MSU has available for 2012? I could be wrong but I believe MSU already has 3 pretty solid guys signed for 2012. So I wonder if MSU will be in a similiar situation as IU where they don’t have any spots open for gary Harris. I know, I know, we don’t have a spot either, but we only need 1 person to leave while IU would need 2 people to leave. I still think it is a long shot but the longer his recruitment goes the better I feel our chances are.

by BoilersFan on Apr 22, 2011 2:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

As far as I can tell

Painter is not even spending any more time on Harris. I don’t believe he made one trip to even see him during the spring contact period. That ship has long sailed.

by ruascott on Apr 22, 2011 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds like you dunno how to win in basketball

Scoring isn’t EVERYTHING. In fact, according to Wages of Wins, statistically scoring is the MOST OVERRATED criteria in judging a player’s contribution to wins.

Look at Carmelo Anthony, undoubtedly one of the best and talented offensive scorers in the league. Does the Knicks get a better record for having him? Or is Denver ends up more wins AFTER getting rid of him? ;-)

Basketball is a team game. Team chemistry, and also have everyone buying into the same TEAM concept are highly important too. I thought that’s what the real old school style teaches.

It is naive to think that adding a 14ppg guy can only do good, ignoring the fact that it could very well mean taking away shots from others. I am NOT saying that it’s ALWAYS BAD to add a scorer to the team (sometimes it works out great), so we need to weigh the pros and cons, as many have spoken. But to think that it is ALWAYS GOOD to take a 14ppg scorer is beyond stupid and shows absolute lack of basketball understanding.

by charlespig on Apr 21, 2011 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds like you missed the point entirely

I said defense is important, but if you lose 35-34 then you still lose. It’s a TEAM game and there are TWO sides of the ball. Both are equally important. If someone has that kind of ability then it would be a mistake not to bring him in at the very least to be a bench player.

by OldSchoolStyle on Apr 21, 2011 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wood and Harris going to MSU

Matt Painter needs to get on Izzo’s level and land players like Dawson etc…. in the state of IN

by mkstock28 on Apr 29, 2011 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

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