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Post-Signing Day: Who Starts Now?

Now that signing day is out of the way we can figure out where our new players will fit in. Naturally, with a very small class, it means that quite a few players are returning. It doesn't seem like this class is full of instant impact guys that will dislodge proven starters. I do think we have some guys that will be key reserves immediately. In the long run, that could be a good thing. They will have a chance to get used to the system and contribute in small ways before we have to rely on them. If someone blows up like Ricardo Allen or Ralph Bolden, even better.

So, here is who I think will be starting when we face Middle Tennessee State in the season opener:

Quarterback: Robert Marve - Coach Hope has staked a lot on Marve, so I think he gets the nod if he is healthy. Marve has cleaned up his act since leaving Miami and has been a model student at Purdue. I want to see him have success and overcome the bad luck since he got here. On the down side, he has barely played a significant amount of football in almost three years. His knee has been repaired twice. That means his health will always be in question. Fortunately, Rob Henry is also back. Henry showed some promise late last year. If he doesn't start I think he will position himself to start in 2012.

Star-divide

Running Back: Ralph Bolden - I feel a little better about Bolden because by the time the season starts he will have had about 17 months to heal. Given the number of running backs we signed he won't have to handle the load all himself, either. Jared Crank will come back and get some carries at fullback. Akeem Shavers was recruited to play right away and could be a Jaycen Taylor-type. Reggie Pegram is style in the fold, but I bet Doug Gentry or Akeem Hunt will receive a few carries somewhere along the line.

Wide Receivers: Keith Smith, Antavian Edison, O.J. Ross, Justin Siller - Assuming that Smith gets his 6th year he will be the most critical player back. A major reason our offense struggled last year was because our inexperienced quarterbacks didn't have a go-to possession receiver, especially on third down. How many drives could Smith have extended? If we get Keith back at full strength the offense will improve dramatically because he was almost an automatic first down every time he caught the ball. Edison and Ross showed a lot last year, while Siller was never truly healthy. As far as backups, I think Gary Bush will develop more, while I am excited to see Charles Torwudzo as a deep threat. Shane Mikesky and Frankie Williams can possibly play right away.

Tight End: Game Holmes - I think Holmes will be the primary pass-catching tight end, while Sterling Carter will see time as a blocker and goal line TE. Justin Sinz has also had a year to redshirt and is supposedly very athletic.

Offensive Line: Peters Drey (center), Ken Plue (guard), James Shepherd (guard), Dennis Kelly (tackle), Nick Mondek (tackle) - The good news is that only Justin Pierce graduates off the line. The bad news is there is little to no depth. Connor Snapp could also play in place of Shepherd, while Andrew Brewer, Trevor Foy, and Jack DeBoef will need to be ready. Cody Davis has also moved to offensive line and could be the backup center coming out of his redshirt year.

Offensive Analysis:

We will have plenty of experience on the offensive side of the ball. The only major contributors lost were Dan Dierking, Cortez Smith, and Justin Pierce. Their replacements are allegedly better. Hopefully this will allow for improvement because everyone got experience last year with all the injuries. Three quarterbacks have started at least one game (though I would not be surprised if Sean Robinson took his redshirt, especially if Caleb TerBush comes back). We just need to find one that is consistent.

Defensive Line: Gerald Gooden, Kawann Short, Bruce Gaston, Antwon Higgs - Three of these starters are pretty solid as Gaston, Short, and Gooden started almost every game last year. The fourth is a major loss with Ryan Kerrigan graduating. I think you'll see Higgs move up and convert to DE, though Rob Kugler could be an instant impact guy as well. Robert Maci, Ryan Isaac, and Rashad Frazier could also battle for this spot. We don't have many holes, but this is the largest one to fill. Unfortunately, no one is going to come in and play like Kerrigan, so the unit as a whole must get better.

Linebackers: Will Lucas, Dwayne Beckford, Joe Holland - It will be interesting to see where Joe Gilliam factors in. He supposedly had a good practice year while redshirting , so I expect to see him somewhere on the field. Chris Carlino also has a ton of experience, while DeVarro Greaves gave us some good minutes. Can we keep Armstead Williams off the field here too, or will he step in immediately? I know nothing about Kaulana Judd, but he is already 22 and is listed as a linebacker/safety. As a JuCo guy he has to be considered.

Secondary: Ricardo Allen (cornerback), Josh Johnson (cornerback), Albert Evans (safety), E.J. Johnson (safety) - The secondary was surprisingly good last year for all of its lack of experience. Allen has all-Big Ten potential, while I really want to see what Johnson can do out of redshirt. Normando Harris, Michael Eargle, Max Charlot, and Charlton Williams also played a lot for depth purposes. This unit seems pretty solid. Logan Link was a liability at times, but he did make a few plays.

Specialists: Carson Wiggs (kicker), Cody Webster (punter), Kevin Ballinger (long snapper), Raheem Mostert (returner) - Two thirds of the famous Blur is gone, but Kevin Ballenger seems like quite the character on Twitter, so he will take over for the Finchmachine. Webster's mom is the official supplier of Yuengling, so the fact he is a solid punter is merely a bonus. I think Mostert will be a starter from day one as a return specialist, with Frankie Williams helping out.

Defensive Analysis:

Again, there is plenty of experience back as only Jason Werner and Ryan Kerrigan need to be replaced. I don't think the unit was that bad last year, but they were put in some awful positions by a bad offense. I like Ricardo Allen not just because he is extremely talented, but because he is developing into a leader this team needs. He has a bit of swagger to him on the field that I think can spill over to others. He's not afraid to hit someone and he is itching to make big plays. I hope that infects the team.

The loss of Kerrigan is gigantic though. You don't get better by saying goodbye to one of the best players in school history. The unit as a whole could be better simply because they know they can't rely on Ryan to save them anymore.

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Should be better...

because how could we be much worse. I think the key to this season rests on the arm of Robert Marve. Don’t get me wrong, Rob Henry played his butt off last year, but he just isn’t a good enough passer yet to be effective over an entire season. He will be a game changer at times this year but in order for us to have continued success this year we need Marve to be the man. The key element to Purdue’s success in the past has always been because of a great QB and I don’t think this year will be any different. Marve doesn’t need to be Brees back there but we need someone who can move the chains and keep the defense off the field. Hopefully they open up the playbook a little bit and quit being so conservative.

by BoilersFan on Feb 3, 2011 2:40 PM EST reply actions  

Not his arm. His head.

His arm is fine. What little I saw of him last year, though, reminded me of Jay Cutler, and not in a good way. He just didn’t play smart. A perfect example was his dive/flip across the goal line at ND. I believe that was the turning point in the game: up till then we were rolling in the 2nd half, then the 15 yards back us up and ND gets points on the ensuing drive. It’s little things like that that scare me.

"Hey Jay, what time is it?"
"9:30"
"AND IU STILL SUCKS!"

by Boiler Bandsman on Feb 3, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Valid Point

And perhaps I should have said that the key to the season rests on his head and his knee. He certainly has the arm strength to make just about any throw necessery but can he make the right decision, at the right time, to make the play. I have to believe that he will have enough good fortune this year to stay healthy. Nobody can be that unluck to injure their knee three times…but I suppose anything is possible.

by BoilersFan on Feb 3, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Trust his O-Line

It seemed like he was always too quick to roll out of the pocket on a play. It’ll always be easier to make an accurate pass with planted feet.

by Danulas on Feb 3, 2011 5:58 PM EST up reply actions  

still optimistic

If there was any good that came from this injury-plagued season, its that almost everyone on the two-deep should have game experience. If everyone stayed healthy last year, in my opinion at least, they would have went to a good bowl game. They almost made it playing with mostly 2nd and 3rd string players. If healthy, I would not be surprised if they pull a MAJOR turnaround in 2011. Keep your fingers crossed that the curse of the ACL is gone and they should make some noise!

by cnotez on Feb 3, 2011 2:49 PM EST reply actions  

I am too

Staying healthy and having the full playbook back I think will help. I’d like to see Marve in full time and not split with Henry. I don’t mean not using Henry at all, but not at QB. I think that’s too predictable.

With Notre Dame at home, there is no reason why we can’t start off at 5-0. I think we end the season at 7-5.

http://enginerdknows.blogspot.com

by Docjay00 on Feb 3, 2011 4:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Did Ralph Bolden redshirt?

I never see anything saying he took a red shirt. I hope he did so we could have him for another year.

by btfu_crespo on Feb 3, 2011 3:38 PM EST reply actions  

Where does Rick Schmeig fit?

You didn’t mention him in your offensive line blurb, he’s had some solid minutes and hasn’t exactly looked overpowered or slow.

by scruffy_p on Feb 3, 2011 4:12 PM EST reply actions  

Are we for sure that ATM is in the slot?

I like what I see from McBurse when he is in space; he has deceptive breakaway speed as well as some shiftiness. I agree, though, that he is not a running back, even though his size would be great for the position. I feel like the slot is the best place for him for the time being, but he needs to learn the game. He seems like another one of these guys who only relied on athleticism and talent before actually learning the game of football. I feel like he starts the season as the KR as well.

by rbbaker on Feb 3, 2011 4:47 PM EST reply actions  

I'm a little concerned that we have not heard one single word...

on Bolden’s rehab. I wonder how many running backs come back all the way from that type of injury and think perhaps that that is why we’ve seen such an emphasis on the position during recruiting.

Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team

by carmen_fanzone on Feb 3, 2011 5:53 PM EST reply actions  

Bolden's rehab

I saw him playing bball in the Corec a few weeks ago.. I think he is good to go

by mbarnard11 on Feb 4, 2011 9:49 PM EST reply actions  

Andrew Brewer no longer on team

Brewer is no longer on the roster on the Official site and neither is Xavier Melton. Any idea where they went?

OL prospects: I agree that Rick Schmeig will be a big contributor at OG; he played well in the MSU game last season. Trevor Foy, Cody Davis, Jack DeBoef and Josh Davis are all possible contributors and I thought Austen Moret played well when he replace Peters Drey last year.

by admandon on Feb 5, 2011 2:55 PM EST reply actions  

Wide receivers for next fall

Hope discussed trying Normando Harris at WR next season and may give him a shot this spring. Experienced WRs Edison, Ross, Siller, Gravesande, Bush, ATM and newcomer Torwudzo will need to show improved production in 2011. Not sure how new recruits Mikesey, Hunt and/or Gentry will fit into the rotation. It would be nice to see Keith Smith get another year but that may not happen.

Thommie Thomas has not done much at WR and I wonder if he should return to the secondary.

by admandon on Feb 5, 2011 3:06 PM EST reply actions  

Who replaces Kerrigan?

Hope has some interesting options in Rashad Frazier, Ryan Russell, Jelani Phillips, Kualana Judd, Antwon Higgs and Mike Lee. Justin Kitchens is now listed as a DE on the official roster. All these players are talented and depth should not be a problem.

Robert Maci player well last season, when backing up Gooden, and seems to be fundamentally sound. Do you think that Ryan Issac could also get a look at DE this spring? Will Randy Gregory red shirt to improve his strength?

by admandon on Feb 5, 2011 3:14 PM EST reply actions  

Maci looked good last year.

I thought Isaacs played a few snaps, didnt he?

Dosvidaniya, bitches! BTFU!

by BoilerUpAT on Feb 5, 2011 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

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