Know Thy Opponent: Minnesota Golden Gophers
This is where the real season begins. Up until now, we have not played a top 50 RPI team. The closest is Penn State, whose recent upsets have moved them to 52. Of our remaining 15 regular season games, 11 will come against top 50 RPI teams, 12 if Penn State moves into the top 50. That is a ridiculous finishing stretch that comes from playing in the toughest top to bottom conference in the country.
We also have to return to the scene of our nightmares. As a warning to Purdue fans: Get ready to see 12 replays of Robbie Hummel getting hurt last year in The Barn. As horrific as the injury was, the rest fo the game was an example of Boilermaker basketball as we recovered to have Keaton Grant and Chris Kramer lead us to a key victory.
Kramer and Grant are gone. Hummel is not back yet either. Instead, we must face one of the most difficult lineups we will face all season with only Travis Carroll and JaJuan Johnson playing in the post. All this comes against a team that is feeling the pangs of desperation with a 1-3 start to league play. The Golden Gophers have already likely seen their Big Ten championship hopes fade away. They don't want their NCAA hopes doing the same.
2009-10 Record: 10-22, 4-14 Big Ten
2010-11 Record: 21-14, 9-9 Big Ten
Postseason Result: Lost to Xavier 65-54 in NCAA First Round
Blog Representation: Daily Gopher, From the Barn
Series with Purdue: Purdue leads 95-79
Last Purdue win: 2/24/10 59-58 at Minnesota
Last Minnesota win: 3/13/10 69-42 at Conseco Fieldhouse (Big Ten Tournament Semifinals)
Time & TV: 7pm on ESPN
Our last two games with the Gophers have been doubly damaging. The February 24th game will always be known as That Game, where the victory ultimately propelled us to a Big Ten Championship, but the catastrophic loss of Robbie continues to have ripples to this day. The loss in the Big Ten Tournament put Minnesota into the NCAA Tournament and our horrible performance dropped us at least a seed line, maybe two. Considering that both games combined dropped us from a sure one seed to the most questionable four seed in last year's tourney there are a lot of What Ifs.
It is not Minnesota's fault Robbie got hurt, either. He just planted wrong and had bad luck. The fact that his second ACL tear occurred when Minnesota was in town for football is just weird. If anyone else gets hurt tonight I am officially drafting a resolution to kick them out of the conference for our safety.
This year's Minnesota squad should have the same level of angst on Selection Sunday as long as they get to .500 in the Big Ten. Their lone conference win came against Indiana, but the Gophers already have solid non-conference wins over North Carolina and West Virginia. Virginia was the only team to get them in non-conference play, and all three conference losses have come on the road.
The big story, of course, is leading scorer Trevor Mbakwe. It appears he will play after being arrested earlier this week. That is crucial for Minnesota as he is one of the league's best rebounders at 10.4 per game. He is a major reason Minnesota leads the Big Ten at 40 boards per contest. Mbakwe at 6'8", Ralph Sampson III at 6'11", and Colton Iverson at 6'10" Give the Gophers a size advantage that will be very difficult to match. We will possibly see Carroll and Johnson on the floor at the same time, and I wouldn't be surprised if Sandi Marcius plays a little. It will also be critical for D.J. Byrd and Kelsey Barlow to continue their effort on the glass.
While the Gophers have an edge in the post, we have an edge at the guard positions. Devoe Joseph was averaging 11.3 points per game before he decided to transfer to Oregon. Al Nolen missed five games earlier this season, but he is their main distributor. His assists are down while his turnovers are up, meaning the defensive pressure of Lewis Jackson, Barlow, and Ryne Smith will try to hassle him even more. This is where I can see us having an advantage by scoring in transition off of our defense.
Blake Hoffarber is Minnesota's best perimeter player. He averages 13.4 points per game and shoots at a near 40% clip from long range. As long as our perimeter defense continues to frustrate shooters we can eliminate Hoffarber. That will leave Nolen trying to get the ball inside to Sampson, Iverson, and Mbakwe.
Sampson is an interesting matchup with JJ because he can bring him out of the post. Sampson hit a three last year against us and he isn't afraid to shoot the jumper out there. We're either going to have to give that to him or venture JJ out of the post and risk Mbakwe and Iverson doing big things down low. That is why Carroll's development is so important. This will be his most important game defensively.
I do think our guards have a major advantage though. They need to disrupt things on the perimeter as they have done all year and prevent penetration to the post. Offensively, I don't think Minnesota has anyone with LewJack's quickness or Smith's shooting ability. They are going to have to respect Smith, and that should mean for a big game from E'Twaun Moore. Don't be surprised if JJ is frustrated offensively. As long as E'Twaun breaks out of his mini-scoring slump he should be in line for a monster game. The possible return of John Hart could be another plus in our favor.
Depth should be in our favor with Nolen gone. They have an eight man rotation, but only five guys (Hoffarber, Mbakwe, Sampson, Nolen, and 6'7" forward Rodney Williams) play more than 20 minutes.
I am very concerned about their size. JJ had a very hard earned 14 and 10 while playing all 40 minutes last year in Minneapolis. Sampson still had 21 and Mbakwe wasn't playing last year. Iverson and Sampson were good in Indianapolis, but we mostly lost that game because we couldn't hit a damn thing in the first half. E'Twaun went 1 of 14 from the field in that game. That won't be happening tomorrow night.
This game will be a true test of our will, but I know we can win it. Minnesota is not playing particularly well in Big Ten play. They struggled with Indiana and have lost three games to ranked foes. I expect a close game a lot like last year's contest.
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+100
I’ll sign the petition to remove Minny from the conference if anyone so much as loses a contact tonight.
To your call once more we rally....
i'm with TMill on this one
at least a dozen.
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 8:48 AM EST up reply actions
T-Mill and I have similar thoughts
I put the same picture up at my site and created another Robbie drinking game. That T-Mill sure is a smart man. Tonight’s game might make me want to cry though if they continuously show it. Which of course they will.
Got tickets to the game
A main consideration was that this way I won’t have to see those replays.
For your sake,
I hope they don’t show those in the Barn. That would be merciless.
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 8:48 AM EST up reply actions
Time to buckle your chin straps, Boilers
The next few weeks are gonna be FUN!!
"Never ruin a good story with the truth"
with a capital FU....
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 8:48 AM EST up reply actions
Hart??
Do we actually know Hart’s status? I’m hoping we don’t need him at all. We shouldn’t need him to win this game, and I’d rather see him just keep resting if he can. Especially on such a “doomed” court.
Hoosier by birth, Boilermaker by the Grace of God!
I keep trying to find his status
but the most recent I’ve been able to find is Matty saying before our last game that he is doing well and is starting to do drills, I think. He had still not yet been cleared for contact, and he emphasized that his first contact would not come in a game. He’s gotta make it through practice without any difficulty.
Given the way injuries seem to just haunt us, I’m okay with that. Get him to 85+% and then put him back out. No less.
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 8:50 AM EST up reply actions
according to the exponent...
he will still be out for this game, and most likely W.V. as well
Another picture of Robbie?
It’s bad enough we have to hear it on every pre-game and post-game report how we are going nowhere without him, but now you post this picture here, too? Geesh.
On a sidenote, check out this A-Hole’s pregame breakdown of tonight’s game via the Gopherhole blog …
http://www.gopherhole.com/modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=1279
Agreed, especially on Byrd
He hasn’t done a lot statistically, but I think he is huge in the Little Things department. You know, that which cannot be quanitified.
A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance
HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog
gophers by 7?
wishful thinking
"It's a White Sox winner! and a World Championship!" -John Rooney
by BoilerUP2256 on Jan 13, 2011 10:14 AM EST up reply actions
NERD ALERT INCOMING
So I thought of this when looking at that picture. It’s like Harry Potter when they don’t say Voldermort’s name. Not saying the name, or in our case bringing up the injury, only makes it worse.
Gopher Student Section
Over/under for signs pertaining to Robbie Hummel?
by PurdueEnginerd on Jan 13, 2011 10:02 AM EST reply actions
ya but how many student sections care about the feelings of other players.
by PurdueEnginerd on Jan 13, 2011 10:10 AM EST up reply actions
I dunno, I'd like to think we wouldn't have signs or chants mocking an injured player.
Especially one as widely respected and liked as Robbie.
Well...
True.
But I do remember the giant CHEATERS sign the paintcrew had waiting for IU in 2008 after the Sampson issue went down.
That, was quite comical. (I wish I had a picture of it)
by PurdueEnginerd on Jan 13, 2011 10:24 AM EST up reply actions
That was me!
Some buddies and I did that! I am trying to find the photo on facebook but can’t seem to get to it. I know someone tagged one of us in it.
Yeah, but that's something they brought upon themselves.
It’s not the same as a bad luck injury. I may hate IU with a passion but I would never cheer about their players being injured.
With that being said, I fully expect to see Hummel-mocking signs to be present in the crowd in Assembly Hall this year when we play there. You know, after seeing things like this:
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Robbie-Hummels-ACL/135127066539223#!/profile.php?id=100001708423104
by blue_dragon on Jan 13, 2011 11:00 AM EST up reply actions
Whoops, link got messed up
Supposed to be this:
http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100001708423104
by blue_dragon on Jan 13, 2011 11:01 AM EST up reply actions
Being from Minnesota, and being at that game last year, there was nothing but support for Robbie after he went down, and I would expect the same this time. “Minnesota Nice” does exist….it’s just not as common in the Barn.
by MPLSBoiler on Jan 13, 2011 11:54 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Answer: zero
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 6:35 PM EST up reply actions
Mbakwe
He’s the key to this game – no question. JJ struggles with strong quick bigs more than he does guys like Sampson, so if Carrol or Marcuis need help it could put JJ in foul trouble.
How will Mbakwe respond to the mess he’s in? There’s talk he could serve jail time. There’s takl that even though his message was ‘nice’ this was a girl he alledgedly beat on. There’s talk Tubby is seriously ripping his rep beyond repair by ignoring this and playing Mbakwe. His only punishment it that he won’t start.
So will he come off the bench tentative or pumped? If the latter we could be in trouble, no matter how good our guards are. I think Mbakwe is better than Sullinger, with the only difference being some size and the players around them.
If Moore has a big night we can pull this out even if Mbakwe comes out on a tear.
Not to get off topic, but I haven't heard any of that talk, much less any source behind it.
The harassment restraining order (HRO) filed against him in 2009 was because he would not stop calling his ex-girlfriend. It’s a public document and there have been no reports of any “beatings.” The only other potential jail time he could serve is if the Miami DA determines he violated his assault case probation, but I seriously doubt it.
Trevor made a mistake, but it wasn’t a malicious one. He thought the HRO ended in 2011. He spent a few hours in jail for it. Do I think he’s a great guy? No, probably not. But he paid the price for his Miami assault last year and now he’s paid the price for this seriously minor indiscretion. I think Tubby absolutely made the right call. Minnesota’s AD is infamously tough on players that get in trouble.
But yes, he is definitely key to this game.
Couple of things...
As rcpratt notes, the HRO had nothing to do with any physical violence. Trevor made a (really) dumb mistake, but they aren’t going to suspend the kid for writing “I hope you’re ok” on someone’s facebook wall.
As for the Miami stuff. He is not on probation. He was not convicted of a crime nor did he plead guilty to one. He entered a pre-trial diversion program. Basically its a save face deal for the DA that Trevor jumped on so he could move forward with his life. The deal included 100 hours of community service and stipulated that he stay out of trouble (don’t know what the details are on that). But since he’s not on probation he faces no jail time. The worst that can happen is that the DA could decide to refile the charges in Miami and take it to trial. Since the purpose of the deal was to save face due to lack of evidence I doubt that happens.
All this nonsense (seriously TW, WTF were you thinking) aside, Trevor is definitely a key player in this game.
agreed
but there are those rumblings – which make them real in the the sense they could cause further distraction:
http://kstp.com/news/stories/S1921874.shtml?cat=1
As far as the beating thing, that appears to be a mistaken connection by a Fort Wayne ‘sports writer’ who was frustrated that he had to stop talking to Tom Crean for five minutes to cover a Purdue game.
My prediction is that this incident fires Mbakwe and Minni up. Purdue is going to have to either get him in foul trouble and / or have Moore / Smith score a bunch and our perimeter defenders cause a lot of turnovers.
This is gonna be a war
Just send Bade out there dressed up as Mbakwe's old girlfriend
The guy will lose his mind and foul out inside of 5 minutes.
He’ll contend that the fouls shouldn’t count since he had only good intentions.
"Never ruin a good story with the truth"
by boilerslim on Jan 13, 2011 10:41 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Now you're wishing death on Bade?
Wow, you guys really want that scholarship slot! (TIC)
by Purdue_Pete on Jan 13, 2011 10:50 AM EST up reply actions
+23462986724598273552
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 6:41 PM EST up reply actions
My heart is pounding.
I have a feeling this game is finally going to push us into legitimacy. Obviously I don’t expect a 15 point win, but our Boilers are ready to go into battle.
On a side note, is there any place to get text message updates on the game? Of course I won't be able to watch it tonight.......
by Caleb Benner on Jan 13, 2011 12:22 PM EST up reply actions
sure, put your phone number here and risk convincing a reader to text you :P
To your call once more we rally....
by BoilerPaulie on Jan 13, 2011 6:42 PM EST up reply actions
@JeffWashburnJC is pretty good at it...
I used to tweet during the game, but it became too much of a chore.
Anyone have the full text for this?
http://insider.espn.go.com/ncb/insider/news/story?id=6015824
That’s probably not kosher, but if some cool person wanted to email it to me that would be awesome.
Here you go...
The Purdue Boilermakers don’t have any trouble shutting down opponents. In fact, Matt Painter’s squad has yet to allow 70 points in a game this season thanks to the second-most efficient defense in the country behind Maryland.
And considering the Minnesota Golden Gophers can’t hit a 3-pointer, stopping them will be that much easier tonight at Williams Arena.
Purdue allows teams to shoot just 29.7 percent from beyond the arc — top 35 in that category — and the Gophers are coming off a loss to Ohio State in which they hit just 2 of 14 shots from deep. That’s 14.3 percent.
On the season, Minnesota has shot a tad better — 33.0 percent, ranking outside the top 200 — but Tubby Smith’s team relies on 2-pointers for 54 percent of its points. It’s no mystery where the Gophers look for offense: Trevor Mbakwe.
The 6-foot-8, 240-pound junior leads the team in points (13.4) and the Big Ten in rebounds (10.4). Mbakwe is used on more possessions (23.7 percent) than any other Gopher, plays the second-most minutes (27.5 per game) and is a major reason Minnesota is ranked 12th in offensive rebounding percentage. So, yes, he’s important. And though the Gophers said they’ll stand by him in the wake of his recent arrest, he could certainly be distracted.
But the team’s lack of consistency on the perimeter will leave the Boilermakers free to focus almost solely inside on Mbakwe and 6-11 junior Ralph Sampson III (10.7 ppg). Look for Purdue G E’Twaun Moore (tied for the fifth-most steals in the conference) to bottle up G Blake Hoffarber (13.4 ppg), who was held to just seven points in the loss to the Buckeyes. Purdue will simply dare the rest of the Gophers to shoot beyond 17 feet.
This game actually comes at a perfect time for the Boilermakers because they could use a true test in the paint. Of the top bigs in the Big Ten, Purdue has seen only Penn State’s 6-8 forward Jeff Brooks, who went for 15 points and 10 boards in the Nittany Lions’ 83-68 loss.
Specifically, it will benefit 6-10 center JaJuan Johnson (19.4 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 2.5 bpg) to experience a battle with Mbakwe, the only player in the conference besides OSU freshman Jared Sullinger averaging a double-double. But besides Johnson, no Boilermaker taller than 6-5 averages 20 minutes, so crashing the boards will be the Gophers’ best hope to tip the scales in their favor.
Rebounding was the clear difference-maker when Richmond handed Purdue its lone loss on Nov. 27. The Spiders held a 41-31 edge on the glass and had more second-chance points in their 65-54 win. The Boilermakers haven’t been held to a total that low on the scoreboard since.
Which brings us to another reason Minnesota is at a disadvantage: the emergence of junior guard Ryne Smith, who is finally becoming a third offensive threat on a team desperately searching for a Robbie Hummel replacement. Smith is no Hummel (15.7 ppg, 6.9 rpg when last healthy) but he’s averaging 17 points in conference play and has solidified his play by hitting better than 50 percent of his 3-pointers.
Bottom line: Minnesota doesn’t have a potent enough offense (ranked 51st in efficiency) to put Purdue’s defense on its heels. And the Gophers won’t be able to keep the Boilermakers from bombing away — their 3-point defense ranks 249th in college basketball.
In terms of the conference race, though, Painter’s club has yet to face any of the four teams currently ranked in the top 25. (Ask the Gophers: They lost to three of them in a two-week span.) OSU, Illinois, Michigan State and Wisconsin are waiting to get a piece of Purdue. And if Mbakwe exposes the Boilermakers down low, be certain Sullinger, Jon Leuer and the rest of the Big Ten will be ready to do the same.
My prediction: JJ gets pushed around tonight
He’s gotta know it’s coming. What I hope is that he continues to battle down low rather than settle for a bunch of 17 footers. I think LewJack is going to struggle to get the same kind of dribble penetration he has the last few games because of the much taller trees he’ll be having to weave through. We’ve struggled with physical big men for the last few years, so I’m hoping that with Ryne Smith shooting as well as he is and E’Twaun returning to form, we can force the Gophers to extend their defense.
From the Barn’s preview talked about the possibility of Purdue going to a 4 guard lineup to force Minny to go with their speed guys rather than size. Sounds like a great idea to me. I’ll take our speed over theirs any day.
Lord, jager me strength.
by doublegoldandblack on Jan 13, 2011 4:49 PM EST reply actions
If he has the touch...
Let him shoot from 17 feet. It doesn’t bother me. None of their bigs will be able to replicate it OR defend it.
Be a Hero. Be a Legend. Be a Boilermaker.
by JordanLegend on Jan 13, 2011 5:26 PM EST up reply actions
If he takes that shot tonight, he better sink it.
Otherwise, no one of size and ability will be there to compete with their veteren bigs for the board.
Tonight, I fear, we will see why The Hansons should have gotten more playing time in Nov/Dec when we were blowing people out.
I’d love to be proven wrong on this one.
"Never ruin a good story with the truth"





















