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Around SBN: How The Kings Beat The Coyotes: Lather, Rinse, Repeat

The Quarterback Situation: Henry vs. Siller

Any time that you have MAC teams laughing at your misfortune your program is in a bad state. It would be very easy to blame injuries and write this season off, but I refuse to do that when we haven't even played a conference game. It is clear that this is a critical two-week period for Danny Hope's coaching tenure. He is facing the grumbles about his ability to improve the program for the first time. He now has two ugly losses to a MAC team at home on his resume when we only had two home losses to MAC teams in the previous 20 years combined (Bowling Green 2003 and Toledo 1992). The next game is also the biggest swing game on the schedule.

I call the Northwestern game that because they are potentially the weakest of the five undefeated teams we have left to face. Indiana will have a loss long before we face them, probably this weekend, so I am not counting them for this purpose. I think we can all agree that beating Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Michigan State would be a surprise at this point. Beating Minnesota, Illinois, and Indiana should still be possible, especially if we can beat a team like Northwestern. That makes this next game arguably the biggest in Hope's tenure.

Because of that, we have a choice to make. Robert Marve is no longer an option at quarterback. I would argue that his effectiveness was unfortunately limited to poor line play against Notre Dame, then he was banged up from the Western Illinois game on. That leaves Rob Henry as the presumptive starter. He is not the only option, however. Justin Siller has three starts at quarterback in his career. Could he be a better choice? Here is the case for each:

Star-divide

Justin Siller

Pros

Cons

3 Career Starts

None since 2008

59 of 106 for 496 yards, 3 TD's, 2 INTS

Would be another position switch

More experience and maturity

Lots of questions

I am very tempted to go with Siller if we want to salvage this season. Even if we're trying to plan for the long term Siller could be an answer because he has another year of eligibility. He could start next year in what is shaping up to be a very crowded quarterback derby. At the very least, we need to prepare him as a backup because having Henry running the ball opens him up to more injuries. I know he is officially listed as a QB-WR-RB, but I know he was fourth string at the beginning of the season at best in terms of the quarterback situation. I am sure no one ever saw Marve getting hurt and Caleb TerBush being deemed ineligible.

Siller is probably the top backup by default because Sean Robinson is going to redshirt if at all possible and Skyler Titus is a walk-on. Justin might be the better option based on experience alone. He had an electrifying game against Michigan in 2008. I know its not much, but his performance in that game (21 of 34, 266 yards, 3 TD's, 77 yards rushing with a TD) is the best we have of any quarterback currently on the roster. It makes him a proven commodity even though it occurred two years ago.

Remember, at the time this guy was the quarterback of the future. There is a more than good chance that he would have been the starter last year and this season if not for his academic indiscretions. He has shown maturity off the field by overcoming his mistakes and coming back. That maturity could be a big positive for this team in this state.

Unfortunately, he did last play the quarterback position two years ago. Henry, even though he hasn't had a start, had all last season in practice and has played in all four games this year. It is a risk to go back to a guy that hasn't played the position in two years. As much as I like Siller's experience under center, I also remember that his other two starts (at Michigan state and Iowa) didn't go nearly as well. If he is going to be named the starter it needs to happen immediately. He showed his greatest improvement between his first quarterback expirence (vs. Minnesota) and a week later against Michigan when he had a week of practice as the #1 guy.

Finally, Siller would take away another receiver, putting us two down from our original starting three. We would lose any size we once had at the receiver position since Keith Smith is also gone. Can we make it work with a starting trio of Cortez Smith, Antavian Edison, and O.J. Ross? I don't know. With Edison and Ross having to line up in the backfield as running backs it is already limiting our passing game as it is.

Rob Henry

Pros

Cons

Has been in the position for two years

0 career starts

21 of 41 for 233 yards, 2 TD's and 1 INT

1/3 of yards came on one fluke play

Passing game has not been a threat with him

Could be a good option quarterback if we went strictly with the run

Both Henry and Siller are mobile quarterbacks, so I don't think worrying about losing that option is possible. With Henry, we're rushing for over 200 yards per game in the last three games. He is currently second on the team in rushing with 167 yards behind Dan Dierking.

Henry has struggled to move the ball through the air. Many of his completions have been checkdowns to Dierking out of the backfield or Kyle Adams for short gains. His longest completion, a 76 yard TD to Cortez Smith, was the result of a tipped ball by a defender that happened to go to Smith on the ricochet. The receivers don't seem to get involved in the game as much with Henry, and they should be open with teams stacking against the run.

Which reminds me, how is it our receivers aren't open? When I watch other games I see receivers open everywhere. Shoot, Eric page this past weekend was left uncovered over the middle for the entire damn game, but we never seem to have receivers as open as that for even one play. I know we refuse to cover the inside slant over the middle, but when I get home and watch other games on TV all I see is receivers open regularly. Ours don't do that, and they aren't helping a young quarterback like Henry because they're not open. Don't even get me started about their blocking ability. If we run another bubble screen I am going to scream because our downfield blocking by receivers is so poor.

Henry needs to prove he can move this team through the air. He can do it fine on the ground, wither with himself or as an options with his backs. The return of Al-Terek McBruse will help on the ground too, but the passing game is currently not a threat at all with him. It might be with Siller.

Poll:

So I now leave it to you readers. If we're going to save this season and squeeze out four wins, who should start?

Poll
Who should start at quarterback against Northwestern?
Give Rob Henry a chance
413 votes
Go Old School: Justin Siller
172 votes
Burn that redshirt, It's Sean Robinson Time!
110 votes

695 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 19 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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If we are going...

If we are going to go with Henry as QB, then I believe we need to run the spread option type offense which can be run from the old offense. However, since you would be running the QB a lot, we would need to get a backup ready, since he would be one hit away from playing.

by rhiles2760 on Sep 28, 2010 10:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Siller!

I will always remember that game against Michigan two years ago as one of the most memorable I’ve seen at Ross-Ade due to the back and forth scoring. Siller was great in that game and I thought it was a glimpse of what’s to come. I say give him a chance to build on that.

Ever Grateful. Ever True.

by PurdueMatt on Sep 28, 2010 10:31 AM EDT reply actions  

I don't know

Remember, we lost Marve the first time and Bolden both in practice. Who knows what happens this week. Someone keep keep an eye on Kerrigan before he comes down with Legionairre’s Disease or something.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Sep 28, 2010 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Place a call to DHope

I advised him to sit RK out for the rest of the season. He said he’d think about it. (This fuster cluck reminds me of the Leon Burtnett daze)

by 85Boiler on Sep 28, 2010 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wholesale changes

The team we thought we’d have this year is gone… dusted by injuries so why not make a new team identity even if only for a year. I speak of the triple option. We have nobody capable of making regular passes and nobody capable of routinely catching them. If we go triple option, we have Dierking, Henry and Siller or Ross or Edison or ATM set up to string out the defense and that also opens the door for quick little shovel passes which even Tebow was able to nail with regularity(I kid, Tebow was amazing). Seriously though. We have no deep passing presence, we have very little short option because nobody is open (I am also unsure as to why that is) so lets just grind it out. What is the worst that happens, a MAC team beats us? the O-line has been dreadful blocking straight up, so lets make em slide and stay in somebody’s way. Bottom line, no Bolden + no Smith + no QB = Triple option time! Oh and somebody let the defense know that they should try and cover the guy that is wearing different colors than them when he runs across the field looking for a pass.

by partypurdue on Sep 28, 2010 11:24 AM EDT reply actions  

Can we.......

Just put Kerrigan in at QB and run the ball on every down?

by BoilerUpAT on Sep 28, 2010 11:25 AM EDT reply actions  

agreed on the bubble screen and WR's not getting open

Seriously, is this PURDUE we are watching? We practically invented the bubble screen. Our down field blocking is atrocious. If we can’t make it work, QUIT RUNNING IT.

And how can we never have any open WR’s? I mean, that’s what we do, right? I just don’t get it.

by BoilerUpAT on Sep 28, 2010 11:27 AM EDT reply actions  

Is it the chicken, or the egg?

Our receivers can’t get open, and our secondary can’t cover.

Are the receivers running lazy routes because they can get away with sand-bagging in practice against an inexperienced secondary?

Or is it that our secondary isn’t getting proper practice covering routes because the receivers all know that we’ve got QB’s predispositioned to run the ball, and even if they do throw it’s rarely accurate past 5-10 yards so the receivers are giving up on routes?

I guess it’s THE question, you know? The answer to life, the universe and everything?

My personal opinion is that our offensive coaching staff has some major problems on their hands, and a lot of it falls on them. The players seem confused and unprepared (part of that could be attributed to all of the personnel shifts due to injury). The play calling has also been called “Colletto-ish” and I’d have to agree. The mix of calls and the timing of the calls seems totally random, and has everyone out of sync.

Where Hope goes with all of this I don’t know, but he better grab the bull by the balls and get this turned around fast.

BTFU!

by BoilerAdam on Sep 28, 2010 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just can't accept that

Well, not yet anyway

Dasvidaniya, bitches!

by BoilerUpAT on Sep 30, 2010 9:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Kerrigan

at Qb is also a good idea!

by partypurdue on Sep 28, 2010 11:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Thoughts

My gf was just commenting the other week when we couldnt convert a short yardage run that “why dont we put kerrigan in the backfield?”

At this rate though he’ll probably tear an ACL too.

I look at the QB option this way: even if Marve makes a great recovery and is the starter next year, that gives us the option to have either:
1. Marve and Siller both be QB’s looking to be the starter in their final year to prove anything
or
2. Marve starting and Henry coming in at spots to continue to build as the QB of the future (his next two years)

I’d be encouraged to see us develop Henry as a really dangerous QB in the future, plus, I mean c’mon, it’s not like Burke would have the wherewithall to actually fire anybody during the first, oh, 12 years…

by scruffy_p on Sep 28, 2010 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

This season was never going to be a great one..

…but now it really is in rough shape. You can’t be a mediocre team and then lose all of your top weapons/talents and expect any kind of coaching to pull you out of it. I’ve never even heard of a team losing their starting QB, RB and WR in a season — like some kind of “Big 3” in reverse.

Now, I’m not advocating some kind of “go in the tank, better luck next year” thing. We need to win some games to help recruiting. Hope has expanded into Florida but, dating back to Tiller’s last couple of years, we’ve consistently been last or second to last in the Big 10 in recruiting — and it shows. We do have some young talent, and if you can turn a negative into a positive it is by finding playmakers for next season, including at QB.

Which is why I’m not thrilled with the whole “Siller to QB” thing. It strikes me as a bit of nostalgia. Michigan converted its entire defensive scheme in one week and made mistakes left and right, ( http://mgoblog.com/content/upon-further-review-defense-vs-purdue-0 ), and look, Siller was dismissed from the team for a time — he may have leadership issues for all we know.

The real killer to me is that TerBush was ruled ineligible. Now I have no idea if he was any good, but it can’t be a good thing to have your established backup be ruled academically ineligible and then lose your starter shortly thereafter. This situation, like the RB one, feeds back into recruiting: it really affects depth. All Big 10 teams have decent starters, but the good teams have great backups. Purdue has been very, very thin for several years.

So, the glass half full version: I was extremely disappointed by how Robert Marve played early in the year. This might not be fair as he battled some injuries and some nerves, but he just never had any rhythm, little accuracy, and the coaches were clearly uncomfortable letting him drop back and read the defense, which is what you’d want considering what a big arm he has. (Noodle armed Joey Elliott was a true dropback passer — he lacked talent but, at least by the middle of the season, he had really learned to make good decisions and go through his progression. Early in the year he did it well, except that he’d make a few costly errors a game that he eventually stopped doing. Marve seemed incapable of any of it.) So I’m pretty ambivalent about losing the guy for the year — I don’t think he was the answer.

The problem is I don’t know if Henry is the answer either. But he does have some talent, and getting reps with the #1 team and throwing it constantly in practice can only help. I agree with BoilerTMill’s statement that with Henry in the game our receivers will be less of a factor. The reality is we don’t have a starting QB, a #1 receiver, or a dynamic runner — we have about four or five athletic quick guys plus a decent tight-end and Dan Dierking (and Crank) who are going to have to be used in a very irritating fashion through option pitches, screens, speed sweeps and so on. In other words, we’re going to look like a high school version of Oregon for awhile, and I don’t know if there’s any way around it.

I like Hope and I like Gary Nord. I think this is absolutely a test in trying to make chicken salad out of chicken scraps this year. Best case scenario is we take a lot of lumps this year but, by the end of the year, can identify some playmakers and potentially a QB where we can make a run next season. The question for fans is whether Hope is the guy to lead it. Jim Harbaugh at Stanford went 4-8 and 5-7 before righting the ship there. Do we think Hope is like Harbaugh, who can turn it around in year three (hopefully with a healthy roster), or are we convinced it’s time to move on? I’m not sure anymore.

Thanks for the space to rant.

by smartfootball on Sep 28, 2010 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Siller was dismissed due to academic dishonesty issues

Dismissed from the University, actually. I don’t know if there were any issues on the field or in the locker room though.

It is troubling to see academic issues/ineligibility from some of our younger players. Even in down years, Purdue has usually prided it’s self on strong academic values. In the waining years of Tiller’s reign, we started seeing him bring in some troubled kids that had off the field issues that came back to bite him and give the program a black eye.

I think that so far Hope has tried to set the bar high for both academic priorities and off the field conduct. There haven’t been many off the field issues, and TerBush seems to be the only major ineligibility problem this year. (It sounds like that was just barely, a matter of not having taken enough credits, not necessarily that the grades were bad). Hopefully Coach Hope can continue to recruit kids with both on field talent and Purdue character.

BTFU!

by BoilerAdam on Sep 28, 2010 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wouldn't count on a Michigan win this weekend.

Their best win was over a Notre Dame team by one possession, without their starting quarterback for half the game. And I’m pretty sure that ND is 1-3, with their only victory coming against…us. Who lost to Toledo. Therefore, ND is terrible. Michigan and MSU have gotten far too much credit for beating mediocre competition.

by rcpratt on Sep 28, 2010 12:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Sean Robinson

I would love to see Sean Robinson, even if it is as a complimentary role to Henry. Good size and speed. Looking at his high school numbers it seems he can throw as well as run, granted these are high school numbers.

TMill stated in his player preview that Sean would most likely redshirt barring a qb disaster. Well, that theoretical disaster is now a reality. I don’t want to give up on Rob just yet. A couple weeks of reps with the ones will surely help him. Bottom line though, right now he poses no threat in the passing game. Unfortunately he was not recruited as a passer and has had little time to develop into one. I don’t know how Sean has developed at Purdue but if he can help us this season lets burn the redshirt instead of throwing the season away.

I don’t like the idea of moving Siller again unless he has a real shot at competing for the starting job next year. If not let his receiving skills develop so he can be a weapon later this season and next season.

 

by Billy Shears on Sep 28, 2010 1:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Boiler Up Players Down.

I just wanna start off by saying that I pray for a great recovery to all our athletes with their injuries. I also think we should all pray that this is the end of the ACL/MCL tear list.

I have to honestly believe that Rob Henry is the better choice. I think Siller playing at quarterback would be a great “redemption storyline”, but I believe our future at quarterback is with Rob Henry. I believe that you should never worry about the future. So I’m not ready to throw in the towel. We are 2-2, but should be 3-1. So far we’re not that far off. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if we lost the rest. But as a Boiler I refuse to accept that possibility.

The second half of football we played against Toledo (even though we lost) was the best I’ve seen thus far. We move the ball “better” with Rob Henry in the backfield. So my vote has to go to Henry. If he gets injured though, my vote goes to playing Danny Hope at QB. That way he can see that the play calling is an utter disaster and his well-being would be at the mercy of the opposing teams defense. I have no problem with Danny Hope, but this is his job, his CAREER. I would be more than willing to take a Division 1 school on the field for half the price. IT’S NOT OVER YET.

by DatDude556 on Oct 2, 2010 11:47 AM EDT reply actions  

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