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Rooting Around the Big Ten

Badger Badger Badger Badger...

Tonight is a huge game for our Boilermakers, and they don't even get to play in it. In about an hour, Michigan State will try to silence the Kohl Center crowd in a game that has huge implications for the Big Ten title race. I'm sure that I don't need to tell anyone here that Boilermaker nation is temporarily donning our Cheeseheads, drinking milk, and... doing whatever it is that one does in Wisconsin. Of course, this isn't the only game important to the Boilers this week, and after the jump we will touch on the other ones.

Star-divide

Michigan State at Wisconsin; Michigan State travels to Wisconsin tonight (tipoff at 9 PM, ESPN) to take on the Badgers. Bucky's 5th Quarter has a preview of the game;

Wisconsin's formula for winning at home includes protecting an early lead. It worked against both Duke and Purdue, who like Michigan State, were ranked No. 5 in the country when they came to the Kohl Center this season. Falling behind at home might be OK against Michigan and Penn State, but it won't work tonight against the Spartans.

...

Wisconsin 65, Michigan State 61

Even Michigan State's blog, The Only Colors, is predicting a hard fought loss, but says that offensive rebounding might be the key to sneaking away with a win.

Wisconsin ranks first in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage, allowing their opponents to gather just 24.9% of offensive misses.

...

In a game between two teams that traditionally prevent each other from getting easy initial looks at the basket, 10-12 second-chance points could go along way toward a Spartan win.

You may be aware that it's been a while since Michigan State won in Madison.  KenPom doesn't see it happening this year, either, predicting a 65-59 Wisconsin win in a 62-possession game.  Might as well have the numbers confirm what hard experience tells us: winning on the Badgers' home court will always be an uphill battle--regardless of the state of Bo Ryan's roster.

Michigan State at Illinois; Michigan State makes their second appearance on the list, and rightfully so since those are the taillights the Boilers are chasing. They finish their tough road trip with a visit to Champaign, before returning home to host our Boilermakers. College GameDay will be at the game, so hopefully the home crowd can channel some magic for the Illini. Michigan State losing either (both?) of these games would be a huge victory for the Boilermakers championship hopes. The game tips off at 9 PM Saturday night and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Those are the important conference games this week, taking a quick look around the nation;

Pittsburgh at West Virginia; We should be hoping for the Mountaineers to win this one, and help bolster that quality win of ours. Both teams are ranked 21st and 6th as of this writing, and the game is 7 PM tomorrow.

Villanova at Georgetown; Number 2 takes on number 8. We should be rooting for 'Nova's second loss to bring them back toward the rest of the nation. This is a chance for them to get a loss and let some other teams make a case for the #1 seed they have. The game is noon on Saturday, broadcast on ESPN.

Wake Forest at Virginia; Again, we are rooting for Wake to make the Boilers' ACC beatdown look better. This should be a tough game for Wake, as Virginia is a pretty decent team this year and both squads are fighting for their lives in the ACC.  Another Saturday nooner on the worldwide leader.

Those are the important games for us this week. Well, except for that exhibition match against Bloomington High School on Thursday. I'm off to go root for the Badgers.

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As the resident Wake insider

They beat Miami tonight in a game that was exactly pretty. 16 turnovers and quite a few poor decisions. On the bright side, Wake completely handled UVA the first time around.

After 4 minutes of the Wisc. MSU game, I’m very glad we’re done with the badgers.

Lord, beer me strength.

by doublegoldandblack on Feb 2, 2010 9:23 PM EST reply actions  

Good job, Canes

Started 15-1 and they’ll likely miss the tourney. Just great.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 2, 2010 9:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Why would we root for West Virginia?

At this point they are likely to be a very good quality win no matter what they do the rest of the season. Since Purdue is competing with them for a seed wouldn’t we want them to drop a few games.

by BoilerUp89 on Feb 2, 2010 9:25 PM EST reply actions  

Mostly Big East politics

My thinking is that the better they do in the Big East, the more damage they will do to Villanova, Georgetown, and Syracuse. All those teams should be in the high seed conversation, and the worse WVU makes them look, the better for us. Even if we are competing directly with them for seeding, that head to head win counts for a lot.

by TelePunk5 on Feb 2, 2010 10:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I know there's plenty of time left but it

looks like the Badgers are off to a great start! At home, I just can’t see them blowing it.

by boilerg on Feb 2, 2010 9:47 PM EST reply actions  

lookin like this will be a great game until the end

MSU has come back in every one of their big ten games that they were down at the half. I hope Wisconsin can pull this one off.

by airnjp on Feb 2, 2010 9:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Come on Bucky

Hold on for us.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 2, 2010 10:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Color Commentary

“This is a good old fashioned butt-kicking!” -Brent Musberger

As a side note, did anyone understand a thing John Wall said in that halftime interview?

by TelePunk5 on Feb 2, 2010 10:00 PM EST reply actions  

I saw Minny lost Al Nolen

That really hurts them. I know a big reason we beat them so badly was they didn’t have Sampson in that game. Our trip up there just got a little easier.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 2, 2010 10:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Kalin Lucas was just carried off the floor

with an apparent high right ankle sprain.

RUH ROH REROY!!!!

"Pressure is something you feel when you don't know what the hell you're doing."
-Peyton Manning

by ZayJack on Feb 2, 2010 10:35 PM EST reply actions  

Not good at all

It doesn’t feel right if we get back in the race like that. I wanted to get back in fair and square. Look how much OSU got hurt by missing Turner.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 2, 2010 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

wasn't like we were @ full strength also T-Mill

LewJack just started playing again… Kramer has been banged up… so it’s not like we’ve been totally healthy. It’s part of the game honestly… you know Sparty is gonna respond with Lucas or not… we just have to focus on IU

by H Dot Jones on Feb 2, 2010 10:49 PM EST up reply actions  

also Wisconsin lost Leuer

just life in the Big Ten… an 18 game grind

by H Dot Jones on Feb 2, 2010 10:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm sure MSU doesn't feel bad

About winning the Big Ten last year when Robbie had a broken back.

by Nate H on Feb 2, 2010 10:59 PM EST up reply actions  

If he's hurt for awhile...

It might not feel good…but um, I’ll take it.

by rcpratt on Feb 2, 2010 11:02 PM EST up reply actions  

And...

look how much Purdue got hurt missing hummel last year… it’s part of the game. Karma

by munoz317 on Feb 2, 2010 11:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah I agree.

I don’t like to see anybody injured. We know how injuries affected our team last year and I never like to see anybody injured in sports, but unfortunately it is part of the game. I hope he comes back soon. I would rather beat them at full strength, but, we need to beat them and win the conference regardless of whether he’s able to play or not.

by boilerg on Feb 2, 2010 10:47 PM EST reply actions  

The bigger is Saturday

Does he play vs. Illinois? If not, that game gets easier for the Illini and if we face a two-loss Sparty on a quick turnaround next week…

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 2, 2010 10:50 PM EST up reply actions  

That was a big loss

MSU was completely neutered when Lucas went down. I don’t know if Lucas is a guy that you can replace. I hope the injury isn’t serious.

by TelePunk5 on Feb 2, 2010 11:13 PM EST up reply actions  

At least we "control our own destiny" again.

I hate that phrase, but if we win out we at least tie for the title.

by rcpratt on Feb 2, 2010 11:04 PM EST reply actions  

Am I the only one who doesn't want Lucas to play?

I want to win, regardless of who plays but I know it is easier to win without him.
This isn’t junior high. It’s D1 basketball and the goal is to win, and I know it is easier to win without Lucas on the court .
I am not going to pretend that I hope Lucas is back at 100% come next Tuesday. I hope he has a bad injury that keeps him out for the game which makes the road to B-10 Champions that much easier.
I know you feel the same way, don’t lie to yourself.

"Pressure is something you feel when you don't know what the hell you're doing."
-Peyton Manning

by ZayJack on Feb 2, 2010 11:45 PM EST reply actions  

It almost seems unfair if the Spartans DON’T have a big injury like the rest of us have had to deal with (Purdue – Jackson, Badgers – Leuer, OSU – Turner). I would be lying if I said I wouldn’t enjoy it if he was out for the game next week. Of course, if he’s out and we still lose, that would rather suck…but I think we’d win. Other than that, I hope he gets better as soon as possible. We can beat them at Mackey with him, and it’s always good to see conference teams do well in the tourney.

by rcpratt on Feb 2, 2010 11:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm with you

I have no interest in seeing Lucas play against us, but I personally hope that he is back on the court next Wednesday.

by TelePunk5 on Feb 3, 2010 10:01 AM EST up reply actions  

All I know

Is regardless of what Sparty does… it wont mean a thing unless we can take care of business against games that we should win… see Thursday @ Blow-me-ton… we’ll worry about sparty over the weekend

by H Dot Jones on Feb 2, 2010 11:57 PM EST reply actions  

Rough week

Wisconsin and especially Illinois are my 2 least favorite Big Ten schools. Cheering for Wisconsin was hard and now Saturday will be nearly impossible. I wish we could be undefeated so we could just avoid this cheering…

by ElijahJones22 on Feb 3, 2010 9:56 AM EST reply actions  

We don't NEED Illinois to win anymore.

Especially if we can steal one in East Lansing next week. Right now I’m pretty worried about Wisconsin, though – they’ve already played their 6 games against us, MSU, and OSU. Hmm.

by rcpratt on Feb 3, 2010 10:06 AM EST up reply actions  

Not needed

But I’ll certainly take it.

A futile crusade to prevent mass ignorance

HammerAndRails, SBNation's Boilermaker Blog

by BoilerTMill on Feb 3, 2010 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Wisconsin, Illinois, Purdue, OSU

All those teams are still in it (Not to mention MSU) to win the conference. Every single team is licking their lips now.

Statistical chance of a 5 way tie for conference championship?

by PurdueEnginerd on Feb 3, 2010 10:42 AM EST reply actions  

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